Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction - September 26, 2026

Major League SoccerUSA
Philadelphia Union
vs
Orlando City SC
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:4-1

Goals: Over 2.51.34

Bookmaker odds

Home1.44
Draw5.05
Away6.20

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 4-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Philadelphia Union are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-18Methodology

Match analysis

Orlando City visit Philadelphia Union on 26 September as the Union's nearest neighbours in the MLS table, and Superior's pick is Over 2.5 goals. It is priced at 1.34 with a model probability of 70 percent, built on a Philadelphia attack that has scored 19 goals in its last five.

Orlando and Philadelphia sit side by side in the table

Both clubs are in the top quarter of the league with plenty of the season left, and their recent games have been open. The model reads the goals side of this from each team's measured scoring and conceding: Philadelphia won 4-3 at Sporting Kansas City, 5-0 at San Diego and 5-0 against Cincinnati, and Orlando's last five produced 6, 3, 3, 5 and 1 goals. The last meeting, in May, ended 4-3 to Orlando.

The 2025 meeting in Philadelphia finished 0-0

Two goals or fewer loses this, and the meeting in Philadelphia in April 2025 was goalless. Orlando kept clean sheets against Toronto and San Diego this month and Philadelphia shut out Montreal and Cincinnati, so a 1-0 or 2-0 either way is the realistic route to losing it.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Philadelphia Union: 4-4-2(predicted)Orlando City SC: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC
Head to Head

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 13, 2026Orlando City SC4 - 3Philadelphia Union
April 5, 2025Philadelphia Union0 - 0Orlando City SC
League Table

League Table

Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12414465323+3046
12516635021+2954
22513483228+443
22512946146+1545
32512764942+743
32513484131+1043
42512584436+841
42511774536+940
52411674535+1039
52511864235+741
625104114456-1234
62611784127+1440
72596104639+733
725112123332+135
82696113448-1433
82595114747032
92688103934+532
92586114242030
102679103140-930
10248885259-732
112485113739-229
112461173037-729
122561183846-829
122578103743-629
132565143542-723
132578103244-1229
14237792530-528
142565142943-1423
152453162659-3318
152556143151-2021
Major League Soccer - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vancouver Whitecaps24144653233046DDLWL
1Nashville SC25166350212954DLWWW
2Houston Dynamo2513483228443WWDDW
2Inter Miami25129461461545DWWWW
3FC Dallas2512764942743DLDWW
3New England Revolution25134841311043DWDLW
4San Jose Earthquakes2512584436841LDLWL
4Charlotte2511774536940LWDWW
5Chicago Fire24116745351039WLLWW
5St. Louis City2511864235741DWWWW
6Orlando City SC25104114456-1234LWWLD
6Los Angeles FC26117841271440DWWWW
7Philadelphia Union2596104639733WWWLD
7Colorado Rapids25112123332135WLWLL
8New York Red Bulls2696113448-1433WLLWD
8Portland Timbers2595114747032WWDWL
9New York City FC2688103934532DWWLD
9San Diego2586114242030DWLLD
10Los Angeles Galaxy2679103140-930DDLLD
10FC Cincinnati248885259-732WLWWD
11Real Salt Lake2485113739-229DLLDW
11DC United2461173037-729DWDDD
12Toronto FC2561183846-829DLDDL
12Minnesota United FC2578103743-629DDLDL
13Columbus Crew2565143542-723DWLWD
13Austin2578103244-1229LLWLL
14Seattle Sounders237792530-528LLLLL
14Atlanta United FC2565142943-1423LLDLL
15Sporting Kansas City2453162659-3318LLWLL
15CF Montreal2556143151-2021DLLDD