Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC Prediction - 26 September 2026
Our pick:Over 2.5 goals
Odds 1.34Won
- Correct score
- 2-1
- Alternative
- 4-1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4/5Philadelphia Union · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
- W 4-3
- W 5-0
- W 5-0
- W 2-0
- W 3-1
- L 2-4
- L 1-2
- W 3-0
- W 3-2
- W 1-0
Head to head
- 13 May 2026 Orlando City SC 4 Philadelphia Union 3 Major League Soccer
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 15.7Total shots12.5
- 5.5Shots on target5.0
- 5.2Corner kicks4.8
- 2.8Cards1.7
Against
- 9.3Total shots13.8
- 4.2Shots on target5.1
- 4.8Corner kicks5.6
- 2.5Cards2.1
Match analysis
Orlando City visit Philadelphia Union on 26 September as the Union's nearest neighbours in the MLS table, and Superior's pick is Over 2.5 goals. It is priced at 1.34 with a model probability of 70 percent, built on a Philadelphia attack that has scored 19 goals in its last five.
Orlando and Philadelphia sit side by side in the table
Both clubs are in the top quarter of the league with plenty of the season left, and their recent games have been open. The model reads the goals side of this from each team's measured scoring and conceding: Philadelphia won 4-3 at Sporting Kansas City, 5-0 at San Diego and 5-0 against Cincinnati, and Orlando's last five produced 6, 3, 3, 5 and 1 goals. The last meeting, in May, ended 4-3 to Orlando.
The 2025 meeting in Philadelphia finished 0-0
Two goals or fewer loses this, and the meeting in Philadelphia in April 2025 was goalless. Orlando kept clean sheets against Toronto and San Diego this month and Philadelphia shut out Montreal and Cincinnati, so a 1-0 or 2-0 either way is the realistic route to losing it.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50Match stats
Match overview
- 36%Ball possession64%
- 2.93Expected goals (xG)1.10
- 6Big chances2
- 20Total shots11
- 0Goalkeeper saves5
- 7Corner kicks7
- 19Fouls13
- 310Passes573
- 2Yellow cards4
Shots
- 9Shots on target2
- 4Shots off target5
- 7Blocked shots4
- 13Shots inside box9
- 7Shots outside box2
Attack
- 77Attacks82
- 0.85Expected assists (xA)1.62
- 15Key passes10
- 3/13 (23%)Dribbles13/21 (62%)
- 5Offsides1
Passes
- 229/310 (74%)Accurate passes477/573 (83%)
- 19/59 (32%)Long balls41/63 (65%)
- 5/21 (24%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
- 74Final third entries134
Defending
- 17/23 (74%)Tackles won11/21 (52%)
- 20Interceptions7
- 26Clearances22
- 11/23 (48%)Aerial duels12/23 (52%)
Other
- 13Free kicks18
- 12Throw-ins16
- 5Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Home +0
- Goals: Over 2.5
- Match Winner: Home
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | +38 | 61 | ||
| 1 | 33 | +44 | 74 | ||
| 2 | 33 | +9 | 55 | ||
| 2 | 33 | +21 | 59 | ||
| 3 | 33 | +8 | 52 | ||
| 3 | 33 | +9 | 58 | ||
| 4 | 33 | +11 | 55 | ||
| 4 | 33 | +10 | 51 | ||
| 5 | 33 | +1 | 51 | ||
| 5 | 33 | +15 | 53 | ||
| 6 | 33 | +11 | 47 | ||
| 6 | 33 | +13 | 47 | ||
| 7 | 33 | -6 | 44 | ||
| 7 | 33 | -6 | 46 | ||
| 8 | 33 | +6 | 44 | ||
| 8 | 33 | -1 | 43 | ||
| 9 | 33 | -16 | 43 | ||
| 9 | 33 | -1 | 43 | ||
| 10 | 33 | -3 | 43 | ||
| 10 | 33 | -17 | 39 | ||
| 11 | 33 | +3 | 39 | ||
| 11 | 33 | 0 | 42 | ||
| 12 | 33 | -12 | 39 | ||
| 12 | 33 | -4 | 41 | ||
| 13 | 33 | -14 | 33 | ||
| 13 | 33 | -5 | 38 | ||
| 14 | 33 | -21 | 33 | ||
| 14 | 33 | -21 | 34 | ||
| 15 | 33 | -42 | 23 | ||
| 15 | 33 | -30 | 26 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72 | 34 | 38 | 61 | DDLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 55 | DLDWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 77 | 56 | 21 | 59 | DWWWW |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 52 | LDLWL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 58 | DWDLW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 55 | WLLWW |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 51 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 51 | 11 | 47 | WWWLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 47 | DWWWW |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 44 | DDLLD |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 46 | WLWWD |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 44 | DWLWD |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 43 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 43 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 43 | WLWLL |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 43 | LLLLL |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 39 | WLLWD |
| 11 | New York City FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 39 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 42 | DLLDW |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 39 | DLDDL |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 41 | DDLDL |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 33 | LLDLL |
| 13 | San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 38 | DWLLD |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 81 | -42 | 23 | LLWLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 26 | DLLDD |