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Nigeria vs Madagascar Prediction - 25 September 2026

Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorldFull time
Nigeria
2-1
Madagascar

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

79%Odds 1.23Won

Correct score2-0Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.16price falling, opened at 1.26
Draw6.66price rising, opened at 5.35
Away18.10price rising, opened at 10.00
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price rising, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.33price rising, opened at 3.88
Over 2.51.63price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.20price rising, opened at 2.09
Over 3.52.65price rising, opened at 2.59
Under 3.51.45price rising, opened at 1.39
Both teams to score
Yes2.64price rising, opened at 2.18
No1.45price falling, opened at 1.61
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -21.85
Away +21.95

What is the prediction for Nigeria vs Madagascar?

Our correct score is 2-0, then 2-1. Nigeria are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Nigeria and Madagascar both average exactly 1.8 goals a game in this Africa Cup of Nations qualifying campaign, a combined 3.6 that already clears the goal line for their meeting on 25 September. Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. The model has it at 79 percent.

Two matching attacks, both scoring regularly

Nigeria have found the net in four of their last five outings, including a 2-1 win and back to back draws where they scored twice, and their 6.4 attack rating outpaces a Madagascar defence rated 6.2. Madagascar are no strangers to goals themselves, scoring five in a recent 5-2 win, even if their away form has been shakier, with two losses conceding four and three goals apiece.

Madagascar's defence has stiffened before

This bet loses only if the match stays under two goals, and Madagascar's most cautious away nights, a 0-1 defeat and a 1-1 draw, sit inside their last five. If Nigeria's attack is shut out early and Madagascar sit in behind the ball at 0-0 or 1-0, the total stalls short of the line, and that defensive shape is the one route this pick has to lose.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Match Winner: HomeWon1.28
  • Correct score: 2-0Lost5.45
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-09.5%Our score
  2. 2-18.9%Alternative
  3. 3-08.6%
  4. 3-18.1%
  5. 1-07.0%

Top five combined: 42.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNigeriaxG2.72
AwayMadagascarxG0.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
7.0%
9.5%
8.6%
5.9%
3.2%
2.3%
1
2.4%
6.6%
8.9%
8.1%
5.5%
3.0%
2.1%
2
1.1%
3.1%
4.2%
3.8%
2.6%
1.4%
1.0%
3
0.4%
1.0%
1.3%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.3%
4
<0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 57.0%43.0% No
Over 1.5 88.1%11.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.9%29.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.9%50.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Nigeria win and over 2.5 goals58.3%
Nigeria win and both teams score38.4%
Madagascar win and over 2.5 goals6.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.1%
Outcome markets
Nigeria or draw89.5%
Madagascar or draw25.2%
Either team wins85.2%
Draw no bet: Nigeria87.7%
Draw no bet: Madagascar12.3%
Nigeria win to nil36.4%
Madagascar win to nil4.0%
Team goals
Nigeria to score93.4%
Madagascar to score61.1%
Nigeria over 1.5 goals75.5%
Madagascar over 1.5 goals24.3%
Nigeria clean sheet38.9%
Madagascar clean sheet6.6%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Nigeria vs Madagascar

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