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Morocco vs Gabon Prediction - 25 September 2026

Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationWorldFull time
Morocco
2-0
Gabon

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

80%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score2-0Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.11price falling, opened at 1.26
Draw8.42price rising, opened at 5.30
Away18.80price rising, opened at 10.30
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 3.90
Over 2.51.45price falling, opened at 1.69
Under 2.52.63price rising, opened at 2.08
Over 3.52.22price falling, opened at 2.63
Under 3.51.62price rising, opened at 1.38
Both teams to score
Yes2.77price rising, opened at 2.16
No1.41price falling, opened at 1.62
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -2.251.82
Away +2.251.98

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Gabon?

Our correct score is 2-0, then 2-1. Morocco are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Gabon have conceded three goals in each of their last three matches, and that leaking defence travels to Rabat for the Africa Cup of Nations qualifier against Morocco on 25 September. Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, the shortest price on the slate. The model has it at 80 percent.

Gabon's defence has not held in months

Gabon have lost three straight qualifiers, conceding three goals in every one of them, a run that puts real weight behind this line before Morocco's own attack is even considered. Morocco have scored in four of their last five, including a 4-2 and a 3-0, and their 6.6 attack rating sits above Gabon's 5.8 defence rating, the clearest gap on the whole card.

Gabon can still keep a game tight

This bet loses only if the match finishes with one goal or none, and Gabon's one win in this run, a 2-0 away from home, shows their defence is not incapable of holding when the attack in front of it also delivers. A repeat of that shutout shape, Morocco held to a single early goal and Gabon sitting deep rather than chasing the game, is the scenario that beats this line.

More tips for this game

  • Match Winner: HomeWon1.31
  • Correct score: 2-0Won5.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-09.2%Our score
  2. 2-19.1%Alternative
  3. 3-08.1%
  4. 3-18.1%
  5. 1-07.0%

Top five combined: 41.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMoroccoxG2.65
AwayGabonxG0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
7.0%
9.2%
8.1%
5.4%
2.9%
2.0%
1
2.6%
6.9%
9.1%
8.1%
5.3%
2.8%
1.9%
2
1.3%
3.4%
4.5%
4.0%
2.6%
1.4%
1.0%
3
0.4%
1.1%
1.5%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.4%41.6% No
Over 1.5 87.8%12.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.4%29.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.3%50.7% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Morocco win and over 2.5 goals56.5%
Morocco win and both teams score38.2%
Gabon win and over 2.5 goals7.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals9.5%
Outcome markets
Morocco or draw88.3%
Gabon or draw27.3%
Either team wins84.4%
Draw no bet: Morocco86.1%
Draw no bet: Gabon13.9%
Morocco win to nil34.5%
Gabon win to nil4.4%
Team goals
Morocco to score92.9%
Gabon to score62.9%
Morocco over 1.5 goals74.2%
Gabon over 1.5 goals26.1%
Morocco clean sheet37.1%
Gabon clean sheet7.1%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Morocco vs Gabon