Skip to picks
Offers

Japan vs Uruguay Prediction - 24 September 2026

FriendliesWorldFull time
Japan
3-1
Uruguay

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

75%Odds 1.28Lost

Correct score1-0Alternative2-0

Bookmaker odds

Home1.75price falling, opened at 2.13
Draw3.70price rising, opened at 3.50
Away4.66price rising, opened at 3.36
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.29price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.20price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.52.04price falling, opened at 2.05
Under 2.51.78price rising, opened at 1.77
Over 3.53.40price falling, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.26price rising, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes1.95price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.78price falling, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.751.99
Away +0.751.73

What is the prediction for Japan vs Uruguay?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 2-0. Japan are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Uruguay have drawn four of their last five matches without a single win, a settled, low-event run that anchors Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick for Japan vs Uruguay on 24 September. At 1.28, with 75 percent model confidence, it also reflects Japan carrying the lowest attack and defence ratings, 5.2 and 5.3, of any side in this batch.

Japan's ratings are the lowest on tonight's board

An attack rating of 5.2 and a defence rating of 5.3 put Japan below every other side covered here, a sign of a team generating less separation from opponents than usual on both ends of the pitch. That flatter profile fits a low-scoring friendly more than a high-event one.

Uruguay have drawn four of their last five matches

The away side's recent form is remarkably level: four draws, including a 0-0 and separate 1-1 and 2-2 scorelines, against a single defeat. Uruguay's own scoring rate of 0.8 goals a game matches that pattern directly, and a friendly carries none of the pressure that might push a settled side to open the game up.

Japan have scored four goals in a single match this run

The clearest threat to this total is Japan's own capability, shown in a 4-0 win earlier in their last five. If that finishing returns against a Uruguay side that has looked more concerned with control than goals lately, four goals from Japan alone would be enough to beat this line without Uruguay scoring at all.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Asian Handicap: Home +0.25Won1.38
  • Asian Handicap: Home +0Won1.61
  • Match Winner: HomeWon2.19
  • Correct score: 1-0Lost6.50
  • Correct score: 2-0Lost8.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-014.5%Our score
  2. 2-011.9%Alternative
  3. 1-111.5%
  4. 0-09.0%
  5. 2-18.8%

Top five combined: 55.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeJapanxG1.44
AwayUruguayxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.0%
15%
12%
5.8%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
1
7.0%
12%
8.8%
4.4%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
2
2.9%
4.8%
3.5%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
1.0%
1.4%
1.1%
0.5%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 43.5%56.5% No
Over 1.5 69.4%30.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.1%56.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.7%77.3% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Japan win and over 2.5 goals29.3%
Japan win and both teams score19.6%
Uruguay win and over 2.5 goals9.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.6%
Outcome markets
Japan or draw80.4%
Uruguay or draw44.3%
Either team wins75.3%
Draw no bet: Japan74.0%
Draw no bet: Uruguay26.0%
Japan win to nil36.1%
Uruguay win to nil11.3%
Team goals
Japan to score79.7%
Uruguay to score54.8%
Japan over 1.5 goals47.0%
Uruguay over 1.5 goals20.2%
Japan clean sheet45.2%
Uruguay clean sheet20.3%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.

Join on Telegram

More Friendlies predictions

Solomon Islands
Vanuatu
Total goals: Under 3.563% 1.46
Papua New Guinea
New Caledonia
Total goals: Under 3.572% 1.36
Palestine
New Zealand
Total goals: Under 3.576% 1.26
View all predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Japan vs Uruguay