America de Cali vs Rionegro Aguilas Prediction - 24 September 2026
Match highlights
VIPForm
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- W 4-1
- W 3-0
- D 2-2
- D 2-2
- L 0-2
- D 2-2
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 12.8Total shots11.8
- 5.1Shots on target3.7
- 4.7Corner kicks7.0
- 3.0Cards2.6
Against
- 14.3Total shots9.2
- 4.2Shots on target4.3
- 5.0Corner kicks3.8
- 2.8Cards4.4
Match analysis
America de Cali vs Rionegro Aguilas on 24 September finds the hosts on just three days' rest, the shortest turnaround of any side previewed today. Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick is priced at 1.26, backed by 75 percent model confidence, and leans on Rionegro's own run of three identical 2-2 draws to keep this total contained.
America de Cali are working on a short turnaround
Three days' rest is the shortest recovery window of any side previewed in this batch, and short turnarounds tend to cost a team its sharpest attacking edge even when the underlying scoring rate, 2.6 goals a game this season, is high. That fatigue factor is a real part of why the model does not simply extrapolate the home side's raw scoring average onto this fixture.
Rionegro Aguilas have drawn four of their last five, three by 2-2
The away side's recent matches have been remarkably contained: three identical 2-2 draws and a 1-1 sit alongside a single 0-2 defeat, low-event results across four of those five games. That consistency is a big part of why a team averaging 1.4 goals a game keeps the overall total in check here.
America de Cali have scored four or more in two of their last three home wins
The direct threat to this line sits with the home side's own recent scoring, not Rionegro's: two of America de Cali's last three home wins finished 4-1 and 4-2. If that attacking form overrides the short rest and Rionegro's defence cannot repeat its recent containment, this total clears 3.5 on the home side's goals alone.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50From our blog
Match stats
Match overview
- 50%Ball possession50%
- 1.83Expected goals (xG)0.39
- 1Big chances0
- 19Total shots7
- 1Goalkeeper saves4
- 11Corner kicks1
- 16Fouls15
- 400Passes413
- 3Yellow cards4
Shots
- 5Shots on target1
- 8Shots off target3
- 6Blocked shots3
- 11Shots inside box3
- 8Shots outside box4
Attack
- 86Attacks75
- 1.17Expected assists (xA)0.29
- 14Key passes2
- 3/12 (25%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
- 2Offsides1
Passes
- 339/400 (85%)Accurate passes355/413 (86%)
- 36/57 (63%)Long balls36/65 (55%)
- 2/18 (11%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
- 89Final third entries54
Defending
- 8/14 (57%)Tackles won13/16 (81%)
- 4Interceptions6
- 10Clearances27
- 3/10 (30%)Aerial duels7/10 (70%)
Other
- 14Free kicks14
- 21Throw-ins22
- 6Goal kicks8
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Match Winner: Home
- Goals: Under 2.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-013.2%Our score
- 1-013.1%Alternative
- 2-110.0%
- 3-09.1%
- 1-19.1%
Top five combined: 54.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- America de Cali win and over 2.5 goals43.4%
- America de Cali win and both teams score26.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals14.7%
- Rionegro Aguilas win and over 2.5 goals6.3%
| America de Cali | Rionegro Aguilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 88.5% | 30.4% |
| Draw no bet | 85.8% | 14.2% |
| Win to nil | 43.0% | 5.8% |
| Either team wins | 81.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 88.5% | 51.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.0% | 16.9% |
| Clean sheet | 48.7% | 11.5% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +20 | 40 | ||
| 2 | 19 | +7 | 35 | ||
| 3 | 19 | +4 | 34 | ||
| 4 | 19 | +10 | 33 | ||
| 5 | 19 | +9 | 33 | ||
| 6 | 19 | +10 | 31 | ||
| 7 | 19 | +7 | 29 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 10 | 19 | +8 | 26 | ||
| 11 | 19 | +2 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 13 | 19 | +6 | 23 | ||
| 14 | 19 | -3 | 22 | ||
| 15 | 19 | -5 | 22 | ||
| 16 | 19 | -13 | 18 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 18 | 19 | -17 | 17 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 20 | 19 | -17 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | WWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | LWDWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LWLLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLLWL |