Swindon Town vs Newport County Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandFull time
Swindon Town
0:2
Newport County
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.36Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.92price falling, opened at 2.00
Draw3.54price rising, opened at 3.48
Away3.38price rising, opened at 3.20

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19price falling, opened at 1.22
Under 1.53.75price rising, opened at 3.50
Over 2.51.71price falling, opened at 1.78
Under 2.52.02price rising, opened at 1.93
Over 3.52.70price falling, opened at 2.88
Under 3.51.36price rising, opened at 1.32
Both teams to score
Yes1.61price falling, opened at 1.65
No2.16price rising, opened at 2.08
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -0.251.65price falling, opened at 1.72
Away +0.252.00price rising, opened at 1.91

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Newport County?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Newport County are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Swindon Town and Newport County average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.7%Our score
  2. 1-07.6%
  3. 1-17.3%Alternative
  4. 2-06.7%
  5. 1-26.7%

Top five combined: 38.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSwindon TownxG1.78
AwayNewport CountyxG1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.8%
7.6%
6.7%
4.8%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
1
5.1%
7.3%
9.7%
6.5%
3.0%
1.5%
0.6%
2
3.6%
6.7%
5.1%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
0.3%
3
1.9%
3.1%
3.0%
1.6%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 61.8%38.2% No
Over 1.5 84.5%15.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.9%33.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 43.8%56.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Swindon Town win and over 2.5 goals39.8%
Swindon Town win and both teams score30.5%
Newport County win and over 2.5 goals20.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Swindon Town or draw71.3%
Newport County or draw45.9%
Either team wins82.8%
Draw no bet: Swindon Town65.3%
Draw no bet: Newport County34.7%
Swindon Town win to nil23.6%
Newport County win to nil11.7%
Team goals
Swindon Town to score85.5%
Newport County to score73.6%
Swindon Town over 1.5 goals59.1%
Newport County over 1.5 goals39.9%
Swindon Town clean sheet26.4%
Newport County clean sheet14.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Swindon Town: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Swindon Town vs Newport County
Head to Head

Head to Head

Swindon Town
2 - 0
Newport County
February 11, 2026
Newport County
0 - 1
Swindon Town
October 4, 2025
Swindon Town vs Newport County: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 11, 2026Swindon Town2 - 0Newport County
October 4, 2025Newport County0 - 1Swindon Town