Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata Prediction - 22 September 2026
Our pick:Under 2.5 goals
Odds 1.49Lost
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 1-0
- Under 2.5 goals
- 4/5Estudiantes de La Plata · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- W 3-0
- W 1-0
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- W 2-1
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- D 0-0
Match analysis
Estudiantes de La Plata are averaging just 0.8 goals a game heading into Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata on 22 September, where Superior's model backs Under 2.5 goals at 1.49, a 63 percent read in Argentina's Liga Profesional. Lanus sit a little higher at 1.2 goals a game, but the combined rate still leaves room under the line.
Estudiantes top the table on the division's quietest scoring rate
Estudiantes de La Plata currently top the standings on 31 points but average just 0.8 goals a game, the profile of a side that wins by controlling matches rather than outscoring them. They also arrive on four days' rest after a continental trip that ended in a 1-0 loss at Corinthians, a shorter turnaround than the eight days Lanus have had since their last outing. Combined, the two sides' scoring rates add up to exactly 2.0 goals, half a goal shy of the line before a stretched calendar is even factored in.
Lanus scored three in their last away trip
This line loses at three goals or more, and Lanus have shown they can get there fast: they won 3-0 away at Deportivo Riestra in their last outing on 14 September. If that attacking version of Lanus turns up at home against a title-chasing Estudiantes side under pressure to keep pace at the top, the goals column can move past this line quickly.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50Match stats
Match overview
- 40%Ball possession60%
- 1.21Expected goals (xG)1.59
- 2Big chances3
- 6Total shots24
- 4Goalkeeper saves1
- 1Corner kicks8
- 11Fouls10
- 394Passes575
- 2Yellow cards2
Shots
- 3Shots on target5
- 2Shots off target10
- 1Blocked shots9
- 4Shots inside box13
- 2Shots outside box11
Attack
- 79Attacks144
- 0.18Expected assists (xA)1.11
- 3Key passes17
- 5/16 (31%)Dribbles9/16 (56%)
- 2Offsides0
Passes
- 300/394 (76%)Accurate passes481/575 (84%)
- 17/65 (26%)Long balls40/68 (59%)
- 1/7 (14%)Crosses8/25 (32%)
- 49Final third entries94
Defending
- 9/12 (75%)Tackles won9/17 (53%)
- 10Interceptions8
- 27Clearances10
- 10/28 (36%)Aerial duels18/28 (64%)
Other
- 9Free kicks11
- 12Throw-ins15
- 14Goal kicks5
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.3%Our score
- 1-014.5%Alternative
- 0-011.0%
- 2-19.4%
- 0-19.3%
Top five combined: 57.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals24.3%
- Lanus win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
- Lanus win and both teams score17.0%
- Estudiantes de La Plata win and over 2.5 goals12.0%
| Lanus | Estudiantes de La Plata | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 74.6% | 54.4% |
| Draw no bet | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Win to nil | 28.6% | 15.2% |
| Either team wins | 71.0% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 73.8% | 60.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 37.6% | 23.6% |
| Clean sheet | 39.6% | 26.2% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +14 | 34 | |
| 1 | 16 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 | 16 | +10 | 29 | |
| 2 | 16 | +13 | 30 | |
| 3 | 16 | +6 | 28 | |
| 3 | 16 | +4 | 29 | |
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 28 | |
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 24 | |
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 24 | |
| 6 | 16 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | 16 | +4 | 22 | |
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | +2 | 21 | |
| 8 | 16 | +4 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | 16 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | 16 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | 16 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 16 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | 16 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | 16 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | 16 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | 16 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | |
| 1 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 | |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |