Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata Prediction - September 22, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 2.51.49
We publish a pick up to three days before kickoff and never change that first call. Odds keep moving until kickoff as team news and money come in, so the closer the game, the more the Now number tells you.
What is the prediction for Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Estudiantes de La Plata are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Estudiantes de La Plata are averaging just 0.8 goals a game heading into Lanus vs Estudiantes de La Plata on 22 September, where Superior's model backs Under 2.5 goals at 1.49, a 63 percent read in Argentina's Liga Profesional. Lanus sit a little higher at 1.2 goals a game, but the combined rate still leaves room under the line.
Estudiantes top the table on the division's quietest scoring rate
Estudiantes de La Plata currently top the standings on 31 points but average just 0.8 goals a game, the profile of a side that wins by controlling matches rather than outscoring them. They also arrive on four days' rest after a continental trip that ended in a 1-0 loss at Corinthians, a shorter turnaround than the eight days Lanus have had since their last outing. Combined, the two sides' scoring rates add up to exactly 2.0 goals, half a goal shy of the line before a stretched calendar is even factored in.
Lanus scored three in their last away trip
This line loses at three goals or more, and Lanus have shown they can get there fast: they won 3-0 away at Deportivo Riestra in their last outing on 14 September. If that attacking version of Lanus turns up at home against a title-chasing Estudiantes side under pressure to keep pace at the top, the goals column can move past this line quickly.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +14 | 34 | ||
| 1 | 16 | +12 | 31 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +10 | 29 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +13 | 30 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +6 | 28 | ||
| 3 | 16 | +4 | 29 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 28 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 16 | 0 | 26 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +4 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +2 | 21 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +4 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | ||
| 10 | 16 | -3 | 19 | ||
| 10 | 16 | +3 | 20 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -7 | 19 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -8 | 19 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -2 | 18 | ||
| 12 | 16 | -5 | 16 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -10 | 16 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -12 | 15 | ||
| 14 | 16 | -13 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -7 | 11 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | |
| 1 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo de Almagro | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 | |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |