Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25

Published77%1.25

Now82%1.170.0%

We publish a pick up to three days before kickoff and never change that first call. Odds keep moving until kickoff as team news and money come in, so the closer the game, the more the Now number tells you.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.03

Draw3.13

Away3.75

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 19, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-10Methodology

Match analysis

Superior's model backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.25 for Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife on 22 September, rating the total at 77 percent to stay below the line in Brazil's Serie B. Both sides carry modest scoring rates, Cuiaba averaging 1.4 goals a game and Nautico Recife 1.6, a combined rate that sits comfortably under the threshold.

Neither side is scoring at a pace that threatens four goals

Cuiaba have managed 1.4 goals a game and sit mid table in 11th on 40 points with 10 matches left, already safe from the drop. Nautico Recife, in 14th on 38 points with the same 10 games to go, are fighting for nothing in particular either. With both average scoring rates combining to 3.0 and both clubs playing out a season with little riding on it, the model's 3.5 goals line has real room to spare.

Nautico Recife's defence cracked open last week

Nautico Recife's very last match produced six goals on its own, a 3-3 home draw with Operario-PR, and that total is what tests this line's nerve. Cuiaba have also been breached this month, conceding twice in a 2-0 loss at Criciuma. Two shaky defensive performances inside the past three weeks are the reason this sits at 77 percent and not something firmer.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife

Head to Head

Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 22, 2026	Nautico Recife	1 - 0	Cuiaba

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	29	15	6	8	41	31	+10	51
2	Novorizontino	29	14	8	7	49	27	+22	50
3	Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	+12	50
4	Fortaleza EC	28	13	9	6	31	23	+8	48
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	+3	47
6	Atletico Goianiense	29	12	10	7	36	27	+9	46
7	CRB	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
8	Operario-PR	28	12	8	8	39	36	+3	44
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	+10	44
10	São Bernardo	29	11	8	10	40	31	+9	41
11	Athletic Club	29	10	11	8	34	31	+3	41
12	Cuiaba	28	9	13	6	27	22	+5	40
13	Goias	28	11	6	11	28	34	-6	39
14	Nautico Recife	28	10	8	10	35	33	+2	38
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	-6	35
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	-4	32
17	Avai	28	8	6	14	29	36	-7	30
18	Londrina	28	7	7	14	38	39	-1	28
19	America Mineiro	29	4	5	20	21	49	-28	17
20	Ponte Preta	28	2	4	22	16	62	-46	10

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Vila Nova	29	15	6	8	41	31	10	51	LWLLW
2	Novorizontino	29	14	8	7	49	27	22	50	WLLLW
3	Juventude	29	14	8	7	31	19	12	50	WLWWD
4	Fortaleza EC	28	13	9	6	31	23	8	48	WLWLW
5	Criciuma	28	13	8	7	28	25	3	47	DWWWW
6	Atletico Goianiense	29	12	10	7	36	27	9	46	WWDWL
7	CRB	28	13	6	9	42	40	2	45	WWWDL
8	Operario-PR	28	12	8	8	39	36	3	44	LWDWW
9	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	10	44	DDDDL
10	São Bernardo	29	11	8	10	40	31	9	41	LLDDL
11	Athletic Club	29	10	11	8	34	31	3	41	DWDDL
12	Cuiaba	28	9	13	6	27	22	5	40	DLLDW
13	Goias	28	11	6	11	28	34	-6	39	LDWDW
14	Nautico Recife	28	10	8	10	35	33	2	38	DWLLD
15	Ceara	29	9	8	12	31	37	-6	35	WLDDL
16	Botafogo SP	29	8	8	13	32	36	-4	32	LWDDW
17	Avai	28	8	6	14	29	36	-7	30	LWDWL
18	Londrina	28	7	7	14	38	39	-1	28	LLDDW
19	America Mineiro	29	4	5	20	21	49	-28	17	WLDDL
20	Ponte Preta	28	2	4	22	16	62	-46	10	DLLLL