Arsenal W vs Køge W Prediction

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 2-1

Bookmaker odds

1.03

16.80

22.00

Methodology

Form

Arsenal W

D 1-1
D 0-0
W 1-0
W 3-1
W 1-0

Køge W

W 4-0
W 2-1
L 4-6
D 1-1
W 2-0

Prediction, preview and head to head: Arsenal W vs Køge W

Match analysis

Superior's model has Arsenal vs Køge finishing 1-1 in the Women's Champions League on 22 September, with a 2-1 Arsenal win next in line. Arsenal have conceded just once in their last five matches in all competitions, while Køge shipped six goals in a single game as recently as 5 September.

Arsenal have conceded once in their last five games

Arsenal's defensive record is the standout number here: just one goal conceded across their last five matches, a run that includes a 3-1 win at Liverpool and a 3-0 win at Aston Villa. Køge, by contrast, have shipped eight goals across their own last five, including a 4-6 defeat at home to Nordsjælland that alone accounts for six of them. Both sides carry the same three days' rest into this one, so neither has a scheduling edge to lean on.

Køge have already conceded six in a single match this season

Six goals conceded in a single match is the number that undermines a repeat 1-1 for Køge. Arsenal's attack carries a 6.9 rating, the higher of the two sides' ratings measured here, and they were held scoreless only once in their last five, a goalless draw with Crystal Palace. If Køge's leak from the Nordsjælland game shows up again even partially, the model's own 2-1 alternative, or something even more one-sided, becomes the more likely finish.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Today's acca

2 matches, total odds 1.50

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