Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre Prediction - 21 September 2026
Our pick:Under 2.5 goals
Odds 1.52Lost
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 0-0
- Under 2.5 goals
- 4/5Velez Sarsfield · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- D 1-1
- W 1-0
- D 0-0
- D 1-1
- D 2-2
- L 0-1
- L 1-2
- D 0-0
- W 2-1
- L 1-2
Head to head
- 10 Mar 2026 Tigre 1 Velez Sarsfield 1 Primera Division
- 15 Jul 2025 Velez Sarsfield 2 Tigre 1 Primera Division
Match analysis
Velez Sarsfield sit third in the table chasing a continental spot, while Tigre arrive with little beyond pride on the line, and that motivation gap argues for a cagey, low event game rather than a shootout. It is why Superior's under 2.5 goals pick in Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre on 21 September, priced at 1.52, carries just 63 percent, its lowest confidence football read of the night.
Velez have drawn four of their last five matches
Scorelines of 1-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-1 and 2-2 make up that run, four of five settled at two goals or fewer. A team stuck in that kind of draw-heavy rhythm rarely breaks the pattern without a specific reason to force the issue.
Tigre have lost three of their last five without scoring twice
Their form reads loss, loss, draw, win, loss, and in four of those five games Tigre managed one goal or fewer. A side that struggles to score consistently on the road gives this total little extra to work with.
Velez's 2-2 draw two matches back is the shape that beats this line
That game alone produced four goals, and Tigre's 2-1 win in between shows they can still find the net. A repeat of either result pushes this total past 2.5.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 57%Ball possession43%
- 1.32Expected goals (xG)1.54
- 3Big chances4
- 23Total shots13
- 7Goalkeeper saves5
- 2Corner kicks7
- 9Fouls9
- 495Passes359
Shots
- 8Shots on target9
- 8Shots off target3
- 7Blocked shots1
- 11Shots inside box9
Attack
- 109Attacks98
- 0.89Expected assists (xA)0.58
- 15Key passes9
- 7/17 (41%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
- 2Offsides0
Passes
- 414/495 (84%)Accurate passes281/359 (78%)
- 42/76 (55%)Long balls30/66 (45%)
- 5/19 (26%)Crosses2/22 (9%)
- 89Final third entries71
Defending
- 10/17 (59%)Tackles won14/20 (70%)
- 12Interceptions13
- 23Clearances19
- 14/29 (48%)Aerial duels15/29 (52%)
Other
- 9Free kicks9
- 21Throw-ins18
- 5Goal kicks11
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 2.5
- BTTS: No
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 0-0
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-016.8%Our score
- 0-014.3%Alternative
- 1-113.7%
- 0-110.1%
- 2-08.9%
Top five combined: 63.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals28.0%
- Velez Sarsfield win and over 2.5 goals19.5%
- Velez Sarsfield win and both teams score14.5%
- Tigre win and over 2.5 goals9.2%
| Velez Sarsfield | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 76.8% | 54.8% |
| Draw no bet | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| Win to nil | 30.7% | 15.4% |
| Either team wins | 68.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 70.4% | 55.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 33.2% | 18.6% |
| Clean sheet | 44.9% | 29.6% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +14 | 34 | |
| 1 | 16 | +12 | 31 | |
| 2 | 16 | +10 | 29 | |
| 2 | 16 | +13 | 30 | |
| 3 | 16 | +6 | 28 | |
| 3 | 16 | +4 | 29 | |
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 28 | |
| 4 | 16 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 16 | +4 | 24 | |
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 24 | |
| 6 | 16 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | 16 | +4 | 22 | |
| 7 | 16 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | +2 | 21 | |
| 8 | 16 | +4 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | 16 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | 16 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | 16 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 16 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | 16 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | 16 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | 16 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | 16 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | |
| 1 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 | |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | |
| 6 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 22 | |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 | |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 | |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 20 | |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |