Union Omaha vs One Knoxville Prediction - September 20, 2026

USL League OneUSAFull time
Union Omaha
2:1
One Knoxville
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.42Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.77price falling, opened at 1.80
Draw3.62price rising, opened at 3.50
Away3.73

Market move since Sep 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.19
Under 1.54.20price rising, opened at 3.75
Over 2.51.59price falling, opened at 1.69
Under 2.52.17price rising, opened at 2.01
Over 3.52.42price falling, opened at 2.66
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.37
Both teams to score
Yes1.55price falling, opened at 1.62
No2.25price rising, opened at 2.12
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.751.95price falling, opened at 2.00
Away +0.751.69price rising, opened at 1.65

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Union Omaha are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Union Omaha and One Knoxville average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-012.1%Our score
  2. 1-111.2%Alternative
  3. 2-010.2%
  4. 2-110.0%
  5. 0-06.9%

Top five combined: 50.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUnion OmahaxG1.74
AwayOne KnoxvillexG0.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.9%
12%
10%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.4%
1
6.1%
11%
10.0%
5.7%
2.5%
0.9%
0.4%
2
2.7%
5.2%
4.5%
2.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
3
0.9%
1.5%
1.4%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.3%49.7% No
Over 1.5 74.9%25.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.8%49.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.6%71.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Union Omaha win and over 2.5 goals35.0%
Union Omaha win and both teams score24.5%
One Knoxville win and over 2.5 goals10.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Union Omaha or draw80.8%
One Knoxville or draw42.7%
Either team wins76.5%
Draw no bet: Union Omaha74.9%
Draw no bet: One Knoxville25.1%
Union Omaha win to nil32.8%
One Knoxville win to nil10.0%
Team goals
Union Omaha to score83.1%
One Knoxville to score60.3%
Union Omaha over 1.5 goals52.7%
One Knoxville over 1.5 goals23.5%
Union Omaha clean sheet39.7%
One Knoxville clean sheet16.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
Head to Head

Head to Head

Union Omaha vs One Knoxville: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 21, 2025Union Omaha2 - 2One Knoxville
August 16, 2025One Knoxville1 - 0Union Omaha
League Table

League Table

USL League OneUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12717556339+2456
22717464829+1955
32815674828+2051
42613854329+1447
52613674135+645
62613494637+943
72312383431+339
82510693933+636
9268993036-633
102779113845-730
112778123238-629
122776144444027
132576122739-1227
142583142741-1427
152565142942-1323
162665153150-1923
172655162553-2820
USL League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Charlotte Independence27175563392456WWLLD
2Union Omaha27174648291955WWDWL
3Forward Madison28156748282051WWWWW
4One Knoxville26138543291447LLLWW
5Boise2613674135645DLWWW
6Chattanooga Red Wolves2613494637943LWWWL
7Spokane Velocity2312383431339WWWLL
8Fort Wayne2510693933636LLWLW
9Corpus Christi268993036-633DWDWL
10Portland Hearts of Pine2779113845-730DLLWW
11Alta2778123238-629LDWLD
12Westchester SC2776144444027LDWDL
13Sarasota Paradise2576122739-1227DDLWL
14Naples2583142741-1427LLLLL
15Greenville Triumph2565142942-1323DWLLD
16NY Cosmos2665153150-1923LLDWL
17Richmond Kickers2655162553-2820WLLLD