Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction - September 20, 2026

Premier LeagueUkraineFull time
Shakhtar Donetsk
3:0
LNZ Cherkasy
Correct scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.67price rising, opened at 1.55
Draw3.68price falling, opened at 4.10
Away5.40price falling, opened at 5.90

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.37price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.52.95price falling, opened at 3.47
Over 2.52.15price rising, opened at 1.86
Under 2.51.70price falling, opened at 1.88
Over 3.53.80price rising, opened at 3.15
Under 3.51.24price falling, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes2.09price rising, opened at 1.93
No1.68price falling, opened at 1.79
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.86price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -0.751.82
Away +0.751.93

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Shakhtar Donetsk are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match analysis

A shock 0-2 home loss to Polessya is the blemish on an otherwise tidy home record for Shakhtar Donetsk, who host LNZ Cherkasy on 20 September with Superior's model backing a narrow 1-0, and 1-1 next in line. Both sides score close to a goal a game.

Shakhtar are averaging 1.2 goals a game, LNZ 1.0

Shakhtar Donetsk are scoring 1.2 goals a game on average against LNZ Cherkasy's 1.0, a narrow enough gap that the model settles on a single-goal home win rather than anything more emphatic. Shakhtar have won three of their last five, including a 2-1 away win at Karpaty, but a 0-2 home defeat to Polessya in that same run shows they aren't unbeatable in front of their own supporters this season.

LNZ have held Shakhtar to a 2-2 before

LNZ Cherkasy drew 2-2 with Shakhtar as recently as April, proof that the history between these sides hasn't always followed the heavier scorelines from 2025. LNZ have won two of their own last five, including a 3-1 win over Obolon Kyiv, and if that attacking edge travels here, the 1-1 alternative Superior lists is a more realistic ceiling than a shutout win for Shakhtar.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-016.0%Our score
  2. 0-012.8%
  3. 1-112.7%Alternative
  4. 2-010.3%
  5. 0-19.3%

Top five combined: 61.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeShakhtar DonetskxG1.25
AwayLNZ CherkasyxG0.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
16%
10%
4.6%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
9.3%
13%
9.0%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
3.3%
4.7%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
0.9%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 40.4%59.6% No
Over 1.5 61.9%38.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.6%64.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.4%83.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Shakhtar Donetsk win and over 2.5 goals23.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk win and both teams score16.6%
LNZ Cherkasy win and over 2.5 goals8.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw78.8%
LNZ Cherkasy or draw50.4%
Either team wins70.9%
Draw no bet: Shakhtar Donetsk70.1%
Draw no bet: LNZ Cherkasy29.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk win to nil33.1%
LNZ Cherkasy win to nil13.7%
Team goals
Shakhtar Donetsk to score73.5%
LNZ Cherkasy to score54.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals38.5%
LNZ Cherkasy over 1.5 goals18.0%
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet45.9%
LNZ Cherkasy clean sheet26.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy
Head to Head

Head to Head

Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 13, 2026LNZ Cherkasy2 - 2Shakhtar Donetsk
October 5, 2025Shakhtar Donetsk1 - 4LNZ Cherkasy
April 11, 2025LNZ Cherkasy1 - 4Shakhtar Donetsk
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueUkraine · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17601155+1018
26501124+815
36411144+1013
4641195+413
56402124+812
6110010+13
662225508
7722367-18
87223711-48
9614143+17
10714246-27
11512234-15
126123710-35
13612337-45
14100114-30
147043212-104
15502338-52
15100103-30
165023213-112
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Polessya76011551018W
2Shakhtar Donetsk6501124815W
3Karpaty64111441013W
4Dynamo Kyiv641195413
5Metalist 1925 Kharkiv6402124812
6FC Kharkiv11001013W
6LNZ Cherkasy62225508D
7Epitsentr Dunayivtsi722367-18W
8Zorya Luhansk7223711-48W
9Livyi Bereh61414317
10Bukovyna714246-27D
11Veres Rivne512234-15L
12Hirnyk6123710-35
13Chornomorets612337-45L
14Kryvbas KR100114-30L
14Obolon Kyiv7043212-104
15Kolos Kovalivka502338-52L
15Obolon'-Brovar100103-30L
16Kudrivka5023213-112L