Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23 Prediction - September 20, 2026

Asian GamesWorldFull time
Hong Kong U23
1:5
Thailand U23
Correct scoreOur pick
0-2

Alternative:0-1

Match Winner: Away1.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.42price falling, opened at 10.20
Draw4.15price falling, opened at 4.60
Away1.47price rising, opened at 1.30

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price rising, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.20price falling, opened at 5.00
Over 2.51.57price rising, opened at 1.50
Under 2.52.14price falling, opened at 2.40
Over 3.52.49price rising, opened at 2.25
Under 3.51.45price falling, opened at 1.55
Both teams to score
Yes1.68price falling, opened at 1.83
No2.04price rising, opened at 1.93
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +11.82
Away -11.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 2, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Thailand U23 are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-9Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Thailand U23 average 2.6 goals per match against 0.3 for Hong Kong U23.
  • Thailand U23 won 2 of their last 5 matches; Hong Kong U23 won 0 of 4.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-213.0%Our score
  2. 0-111.4%Alternative
  3. 0-39.9%
  4. 1-29.3%
  5. 1-18.1%

Top five combined: 51.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHong Kong U23xG0.71
AwayThailand U23xG2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
11%
8.1%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
13%
9.3%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
9.9%
7.1%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
5.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
2.6%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.7%54.3% No
Over 1.5 80.0%20.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.6%42.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.2%64.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Hong Kong U23 win and over 2.5 goals5.2%
Hong Kong U23 win and both teams score4.8%
Thailand U23 win and over 2.5 goals48.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Hong Kong U23 or draw27.0%
Thailand U23 or draw90.0%
Either team wins82.9%
Draw no bet: Hong Kong U2312.0%
Draw no bet: Thailand U2388.0%
Hong Kong U23 win to nil5.2%
Thailand U23 win to nil44.1%
Team goals
Hong Kong U23 to score50.9%
Thailand U23 to score89.8%
Hong Kong U23 over 1.5 goals16.0%
Thailand U23 over 1.5 goals66.6%
Hong Kong U23 clean sheet10.2%
Thailand U23 clean sheet49.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Hong Kong U23 vs Thailand U23