Udinese vs Venezia Prediction

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

81%Odds 1.32Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Venezia · last 5 games

Form

Udinese

W 3-2
D 1-1
W 1-0
W 1-0
L 0-1

Venezia

L 0-2
L 0-2
W 3-2
D 2-2
L 3-4

Bookmaker odds

Home1.96

Draw3.52

Away3.86

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.25

Under 1.53.28

Over 2.51.94

Under 2.51.86

Over 3.53.14

Under 3.51.27

Both teams to score

Yes1.76

No1.96

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.83

Handicap

Home -0.251.69

Away +0.252.17

Methodology

Match analysis

Udinese carry three days' rest into their Coppa Italia meeting with Venezia on 2 September against the visitors' four, and Superior's model projects a tight 1-1, with an alternative of 1-2 to Venezia. Udinese have won three of their last four matches, while Venezia have lost three of their own last five.

Udinese have won three of their last four

Udinese's recent form reads a 3-2 away win at Monza, a 1-1 draw with Como and back-to-back 1-0 home wins over Padova and Nottingham Forest, only their trip to Trabzonspor breaking the run. Venezia have gone the other way, losing 2-0 at Milan and 2-0 at Lecce in their last two, with their only win in this stretch a 3-2 home game against Modena that saw them concede twice themselves.

Venezia's attack rating still edges 6.7

The case against a comfortable home projection is that Venezia's attack rating of 6.7 is the highest number either side carries into this game, and their one win in the sample came in a game with five goals. Udinese's three days' rest against Venezia's four is also a mild point in the visitors' favour, so if Venezia's attacking numbers translate onto the pitch rather than their recent defensive slippage, the tight 1-1 Superior projects could easily tip toward the away side instead.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Over 1.5Won1.32
Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-110.8%Our score
1-29.2%Alternative
0-18.0%
2-17.3%
0-26.8%

Top five combined: 42.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUdinesexG1.36

AwayVeneziaxG1.71

4.7%

6.3%

4.3%

1.9%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

8.0%

11%

7.3%

3.3%

1.1%

0.3%

<0.1%

6.8%

9.2%

6.3%

2.8%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

3.9%

5.3%

3.6%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.7%

2.3%

1.5%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.6%

0.8%

0.5%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 60.8%39.2% No

Over 1.5 81.1%18.9% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 59.2%40.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 36.8%63.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Venezia win and over 2.5 goals31.1%
Udinese win and over 2.5 goals19.9%
Udinese win and both teams score17.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.5%

Outcome markets
	Udinese	Venezia
Win or draw	54.1%	69.5%
Draw no bet	39.9%	60.1%
Win to nil	13.4%	21.1%
Either team wins	76.4%
Team goals
To score	74.2%	81.9%
Over 1.5 goals	39.3%	51.0%
Clean sheet	18.1%	25.8%