Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

52%Odds 1.32Won

Correct score2-1Alternative1-1

Form

Sassuolo

W 2-1
L 1-2
W 3-0
L 2-3
L 1-4

Frosinone

W 3-0
L 0-1
W 4-1
L 1-2
D 2-2

Head to head

13 May 2025 Sassuolo 0 Frosinone 1 Serie B
21 Apr 2025 Sassuolo 0 Frosinone 1 Serie B
14 Dec 2024 Frosinone 1 Sassuolo 2 Serie B

Bookmaker odds

Home1.77

Draw3.90

Away4.30

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.54.30

Over 2.51.66

Under 2.52.22

Over 3.52.49

Under 3.51.42

Both teams to score

Yes1.59

No2.21

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.83

Handicap

Home -0.751.89

Away +0.751.76

Methodology

Match analysis

Sassuolo and Frosinone both carry three days' rest into their Coppa Italia meeting on 2 September, and Superior's model projects a 2-1 home win, with 1-1 as the alternative. Sassuolo have scored in every one of their last five matches, while Frosinone have found the net in four of their own last five.

Sassuolo have scored in five straight matches

Sassuolo's run includes a 2-1 win over Torino, a 3-0 win over Cesena and a 2-1 defeat at Atalanta, seven goals scored across their last three matches even while losing two of them. Frosinone have matched that scoring habit on the road, netting three times in a win at Fiorentina and four in a win over Juve Stabia, an attack that has stayed productive even through a run of mixed results.

Frosinone won 1-0 away the last time these sides met

The risk to a home win projection is that Frosinone's only previous meeting with Sassuolo, in April last year, ended in a 1-0 away win, and their away form this run, three goals at Fiorentina and four at Juve Stabia, shows they travel well when their finishing clicks. Sassuolo's defence rating of 5.8 is also the softer number on the pitch here, so if Frosinone's away scoring form repeats itself, the projected home win could just as easily end up going the other way.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.32
Correct score: 1-1Won6.00

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After full time

Top five correct scores

2-19.0%Our score
1-18.7%Alternative
2-26.8%
1-26.6%
3-16.2%

Top five combined: 37.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSassuoloxG2.07

AwayFrosinonexG1.52

2.8%

5.7%

5.9%

4.1%

2.1%

0.9%

0.4%

4.2%

8.7%

9.0%

6.2%

3.2%

1.3%

0.6%

3.2%

6.6%

6.8%

4.7%

2.4%

1.0%

0.5%

1.6%

3.4%

3.5%

2.4%

1.2%

0.5%

0.2%

0.6%

1.3%

0.9%

0.5%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 68.3%31.7% No

Over 1.5 87.3%12.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 69.5%30.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 48.3%51.7% Under 3.5

Combos

Sassuolo win and over 2.5 goals38.6%
Sassuolo win and both teams score31.2%
Frosinone win and over 2.5 goals21.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.5%

Outcome markets
	Sassuolo	Frosinone
Win or draw	71.5%	49.8%
Draw no bet	63.8%	36.2%
Win to nil	19.0%	9.9%
Either team wins	78.8%
Team goals
To score	87.3%	78.2%
Over 1.5 goals	61.1%	45.0%
Clean sheet	21.8%	12.7%