VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction - 19 September 2026
Form
- L 1-2
- W 3-1
- W 4-1
- L 1-5
- W 4-0
- W 3-0
- W 3-2
- W 3-2
- W 5-0
- W 2-0
Head to head
- 4 Apr 2026 VfB Stuttgart 0 Borussia Dortmund 2 Bundesliga 1
- 22 Nov 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3 VfB Stuttgart 3 Bundesliga 1
Match analysis
VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund on 19 September, and Superior's model still projects a 2-1 home win even though Dortmund have won all five of their last matches and are averaging 3.2 goals a game to Stuttgart's 2.6. Stuttgart's own attack, with two four-goal matches in that span, is what keeps them in the projection.
Dortmund's five straight wins include a 5-0 and three other multi-goal margins
Dortmund have not dropped a point in five matches, scoring at least twice in every one and keeping three clean sheets along the way. Stuttgart's form is more uneven, with a 1-5 defeat sitting between two four-goal wins, and that same match shows Stuttgart's defence can be opened up by a side finishing chances the way Dortmund currently are.
Stuttgart's 1-5 defeat is the closer template against a strong away attack
That 1-5 loss came against attacking numbers not far off what Dortmund are currently producing, and Dortmund have scored in every away match this run without exception. If Dortmund's front line repeats that kind of night here, the model's own 3-1 alternate is closer to the mark than the 2-1 home win it lists first.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More Bundesliga 1 predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 56%Ball possession44%
- 0.87Expected goals (xG)1.34
- 0Big chances3
- 12Total shots13
- 1Goalkeeper saves5
- 6Corner kicks2
- 9Fouls14
- 544Passes432
- 2Yellow cards5
Shots
- 5Shots on target2
- 6Shots off target6
- 1Blocked shots5
- 8Shots inside box10
- 4Shots outside box3
Attack
- 1.10Expected assists (xA)1.24
- 9Key passes11
- 9/17 (53%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
- 4Offsides1
Passes
- 472/544 (87%)Accurate passes335/432 (78%)
- 22/49 (45%)Long balls28/70 (40%)
- 5/27 (19%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
- 104Final third entries101
Defending
- 5/10 (50%)Tackles won10/17 (59%)
- 5Interceptions11
- 30Clearances30
- 15/34 (44%)Aerial duels19/34 (56%)
Other
- 14Free kicks9
- 16Throw-ins17
- 10Goal kicks9
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Home +1.25
- Goals: Over 2.5
- Asian Handicap: Home +0.5
- Asian Handicap: Home +0.25
- Asian Handicap: Home +0
- Match Winner: Home
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-18.5%Our score
- 3-16.8%Alternative
- 1-16.7%
- 2-06.6%
- 1-05.9%
Top five combined: 34.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- VfB Stuttgart win and over 2.5 goals48.1%
- VfB Stuttgart win and both teams score35.2%
- Borussia Dortmund win and over 2.5 goals16.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals9.0%
| VfB Stuttgart | Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 77.7% | 39.4% |
| Draw no bet | 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Win to nil | 25.3% | 8.2% |
| Either team wins | 82.9% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 89.5% | 72.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.3% | 39.4% |
| Clean sheet | 27.6% | 10.5% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +19 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | +8 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | +3 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | -12 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 18 | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 | |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 16 | |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 | |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 | |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 | |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 9 | |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 4 |