Thame United vs Exmouth Prediction - September 19, 2026

FA CupEnglandFull time
Thame United
3:3
Exmouth
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Match Winner: Home1.80Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.61price falling, opened at 1.68
Draw4.05price rising, opened at 3.88
Away4.22price rising, opened at 3.96

Market move since Sep 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.11price falling, opened at 1.12
Under 1.54.85price rising, opened at 4.70
Over 2.51.45price falling, opened at 1.47
Under 2.52.41price rising, opened at 2.35
Over 3.52.18price falling, opened at 2.24
Under 3.51.58price rising, opened at 1.55
Both teams to score
Yes1.51price rising, opened at 1.50
No2.36price falling, opened at 2.38
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.75price falling, opened at 1.82
Away +0.751.88price rising, opened at 1.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Thame United vs Exmouth?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Thame United are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Thame United won 4 of their last 5 matches; Exmouth won 1 of 5.
  • Thame United average 2.8 goals per match against 2.0 for Exmouth.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-09.1%Our score
  2. 2-19.8%Alternative
  3. 1-08.9%
  4. 1-18.3%
  5. 3-17.2%

Top five combined: 43.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeThame UnitedxG2.17
AwayExmouthxG0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.8%
8.9%
9.1%
7.1%
4.2%
2.4%
1.2%
1
3.8%
8.3%
9.8%
7.2%
4.3%
2.0%
1.0%
2
2.1%
4.6%
4.5%
3.7%
2.0%
1.0%
0.5%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.7%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.3%43.7% No
Over 1.5 83.5%16.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 64.0%36.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 41.6%58.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Thame United win and over 2.5 goals47.6%
Thame United win and both teams score32.7%
Exmouth win and over 2.5 goals10.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Thame United or draw83.5%
Exmouth or draw34.5%
Either team wins82.0%
Draw no bet: Thame United79.9%
Draw no bet: Exmouth20.1%
Thame United win to nil32.8%
Exmouth win to nil7.1%
Team goals
Thame United to score89.1%
Exmouth to score63.3%
Thame United over 1.5 goals65.1%
Exmouth over 1.5 goals26.9%
Thame United clean sheet36.7%
Exmouth clean sheet10.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

More FA Cup Predictions

Redcar Town
Darlington 1883
Maidenhead
Ebbsfleet United
Marine
Radcliffe
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Thame United vs Exmouth

From our blog

Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Prediction June 26: Where the Odds Miss

Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United Prediction June 26: Where the Odds Miss

Shamrock Rovers face Galway United on June 26. Our model gives Galway a 74% scoring chance vs the market’s 61% – find the value the 1.41 price misses.

Manchester United 4-4 Bournemouth: chaotic draw exposes deeper questions

Manchester United 4-4 Bournemouth: chaotic draw exposes deeper questions

Manchester United 4-4 Bournemouth: chaotic draw exposes deeper questions In a breathless contest that finished 4-4 between Manchester United and Bournemouth, attacking fireworks co

Bruno Fernandes criticises Manchester United hierarchy in rare public rebuke

Bruno Fernandes criticises Manchester United hierarchy in rare public rebuke

Bruno Fernandes criticises Manchester United hierarchy in rare public rebuke Bruno Fernandes has publicly criticised Manchester United's hierarchy, focusing attention on the club's

Ruben Amorim backs Manchester United defence after four-goal setback

Ruben Amorim backs Manchester United defence after four-goal setback

Ruben Amorim backs Manchester United defence after four-goal setback Ruben Amorim has moved to protect his Manchester United defenders after a turbulent match in which the team con

Visit our blog