Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph Prediction - September 19, 2026

USL League OneUSAFull time
Sarasota Paradise
6:0
Greenville Triumph
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.20price rising, opened at 2.16
Draw3.26price rising, opened at 3.25
Away2.87price falling, opened at 2.95

Market move since Sep 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.53.58
Over 2.51.72
Under 2.51.96
Over 3.52.74
Under 3.51.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.59
No2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.91price rising, opened at 1.87
Away +0.251.75price falling, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sarasota Paradise are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Sarasota Paradise and Greenville Triumph average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.1%Our score
  2. 2-19.5%Alternative
  3. 1-08.7%
  4. 2-07.3%
  5. 1-27.2%

Top five combined: 43.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSarasota ParadisexG1.78
AwayGreenville TriumphxG1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.3%
8.7%
7.3%
4.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.3%
1
6.5%
11%
9.5%
5.2%
2.2%
0.8%
0.3%
2
4.0%
7.2%
5.6%
3.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.9%
2.8%
2.6%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.3%41.7% No
Over 1.5 79.6%20.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.2%42.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.5%65.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Sarasota Paradise win and over 2.5 goals31.6%
Sarasota Paradise win and both teams score24.4%
Greenville Triumph win and over 2.5 goals18.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Sarasota Paradise or draw71.1%
Greenville Triumph or draw52.5%
Either team wins76.4%
Draw no bet: Sarasota Paradise62.2%
Draw no bet: Greenville Triumph37.8%
Sarasota Paradise win to nil23.1%
Greenville Triumph win to nil13.4%
Team goals
Sarasota Paradise to score81.4%
Greenville Triumph to score71.6%
Sarasota Paradise over 1.5 goals50.3%
Greenville Triumph over 1.5 goals36.1%
Sarasota Paradise clean sheet28.4%
Greenville Triumph clean sheet18.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph
Head to Head

Head to Head

Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 8, 2026Greenville Triumph0 - 0Sarasota Paradise
League Table

League Table

USL League OneUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12717556339+2456
22717464829+1955
32815674828+2051
42613854329+1447
52613674135+645
62613494637+943
72312383431+339
82510693933+636
9268993036-633
102779113845-730
112778123238-629
122776144444027
132576122739-1227
142583142741-1427
152565142942-1323
162665153150-1923
172655162553-2820
USL League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Charlotte Independence27175563392456WWLLD
2Union Omaha27174648291955WWDWL
3Forward Madison28156748282051WWWWW
4One Knoxville26138543291447LLLWW
5Boise2613674135645DLWWW
6Chattanooga Red Wolves2613494637943LWWWL
7Spokane Velocity2312383431339WWWLL
8Fort Wayne2510693933636LLWLW
9Corpus Christi268993036-633DWDWL
10Portland Hearts of Pine2779113845-730DLLWW
11Alta2778123238-629LDWLD
12Westchester SC2776144444027LDWDL
13Sarasota Paradise2576122739-1227DDLWL
14Naples2583142741-1427LLLLL
15Greenville Triumph2565142942-1323DWLLD
16NY Cosmos2665153150-1923LLDWL
17Richmond Kickers2655162553-2820WLLLD