Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction - September 19, 2026

FA CupEnglandFull time
Hemel Hempstead Town
1:1
Wingate & Finchley
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.53Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.44price rising, opened at 1.34
Draw4.85price rising, opened at 4.50
Away5.92price falling, opened at 7.25

Market move since Sep 19. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.13
Under 1.54.50
Over 2.51.60price rising, opened at 1.53
Under 2.52.25price falling, opened at 2.28
Over 3.52.40price rising, opened at 2.30
Under 3.51.53price rising, opened at 1.49
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.76
No1.87price falling, opened at 1.94
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -1.251.85price rising, opened at 1.77
Away +1.251.95price rising, opened at 1.87

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Wingate & Finchley are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Hemel Hempstead Town and Wingate & Finchley average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.6%Our score
  2. 1-011.2%Alternative
  3. 2-19.1%
  4. 2-08.4%
  5. 0-18.0%

Top five combined: 48.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHemel Hempstead TownxG1.46
AwayWingate & FinchleyxG1.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.6%
11%
8.4%
4.6%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.0%
12%
9.1%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.2%
6.5%
4.6%
2.7%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.6%
2.4%
1.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.1%48.9% No
Over 1.5 73.2%26.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.0%51.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.2%72.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Hemel Hempstead Town win and over 2.5 goals28.3%
Hemel Hempstead Town win and both teams score21.0%
Wingate & Finchley win and over 2.5 goals15.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Hemel Hempstead Town or draw72.7%
Wingate & Finchley or draw52.1%
Either team wins75.2%
Draw no bet: Hemel Hempstead Town63.7%
Draw no bet: Wingate & Finchley36.3%
Hemel Hempstead Town win to nil26.8%
Wingate & Finchley win to nil14.5%
Team goals
Hemel Hempstead Town to score77.9%
Wingate & Finchley to score65.5%
Hemel Hempstead Town over 1.5 goals45.3%
Wingate & Finchley over 1.5 goals29.5%
Hemel Hempstead Town clean sheet34.5%
Wingate & Finchley clean sheet22.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate & Finchley