AS Roma vs Inter Prediction - 19 September 2026
Form
- W 2-0
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- W 4-0
- W 4-0
- W 5-3
- L 1-2
- W 3-2
- W 1-0
- W 4-1
Head to head
- 5 Apr 2026 Inter 5 AS Roma 2 Serie A
- 18 Oct 2025 AS Roma 0 Inter 1 Serie A
Match analysis
AS Roma host Inter on 19 September, and Superior's model projects a narrow 1-0 despite Roma losing the last two meetings between these sides by an aggregate 1-6. Roma's attack rating of 6.7 against Inter's defence rating of 5.9 is the edge working in the home side's favor this time.
Roma's attack rating sits ahead of Inter's own defence rating
Superior's own attack and defence ratings put Roma's front line at 6.7 against Inter's 5.9 at the back, and Roma have won four of their last five without conceding more than once. Inter's attack has been the sharper of the two on paper, rated 6.4, but that number has come against a run of opponents softer than a Roma side currently on a four-match unbeaten run.
Inter have won the last two meetings by an aggregate 6-1
Inter beat Roma 5-2 in April and 1-0 in October, a pattern that runs directly against the ratings gap this projection leans on. Both sides also arrive on identical four days' rest, so fatigue explains none of that recent head to head record, and a repeat of Inter's finishing from either of those two matches would beat the projected 1-0.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More Serie A predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 49%Ball possession51%
- 1.69Expected goals (xG)2.37
- 3Big chances5
- 18Total shots16
- 3Goalkeeper saves2
- 4Corner kicks2
- 13Fouls7
- 463Passes472
- 3Yellow cards3
Shots
- 4Shots on target5
- 7Shots off target8
- 7Blocked shots3
- 12Shots inside box11
- 6Shots outside box5
Attack
- 1.24Expected assists (xA)0.76
- 13Key passes13
- 9/15 (60%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
- 3Offsides3
Passes
- 389/463 (84%)Accurate passes407/472 (86%)
- 30/59 (51%)Long balls25/46 (54%)
- 2/13 (15%)Crosses8/20 (40%)
- 149Final third entries108
Defending
- 7/12 (58%)Tackles won9/18 (50%)
- 17Interceptions9
- 20Clearances20
- 7/15 (47%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)
Other
- 7Free kicks13
- 16Throw-ins14
- 8Goal kicks11
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-010.4%Our score
- 1-111.8%Alternative
- 2-19.7%
- 2-08.7%
- 0-17.1%
Top five combined: 47.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- AS Roma win and over 2.5 goals30.6%
- AS Roma win and both teams score22.5%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals18.2%
- Inter win and over 2.5 goals14.9%
| AS Roma | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 74.0% | 50.3% |
| Draw no bet | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Win to nil | 27.2% | 13.4% |
| Either team wins | 75.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 80.3% | 66.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 48.3% | 29.8% |
| Clean sheet | 33.6% | 19.7% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +16 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | +13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | +18 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | +10 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | +9 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | +10 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | +4 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | -2 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | -4 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | -6 | 13 | |
| 13 | 9 | -1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | -10 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | -10 | 5 | |
| 19 | 10 | -12 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | -14 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 28 | |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 25 | |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 24 | |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 | |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 21 | |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 20 | |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 17 | |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 14 | |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 | |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 13 | |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 | |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 13 | |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 11 | |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 5 | |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 | |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 3 |