New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.83Won

69%

Correct score: 1-0
Alternative: 1-1
Under 3.5 goals: 5/5New York City FC · last 5 games

Bookmaker odds

1.90

3.88

3.70

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.12

Under 1.54.75

Over 2.51.47

Under 2.52.35

Over 3.52.29

Under 3.51.63

Both teams to score

Yes1.47

No2.50

Odd/Even

Odd1.86

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -0.752.02

Away +0.751.66

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Major League Soccer: New York City FC vs New York Red BullsMajor League SoccerWatch with Premium

Premium

Match highlights
Top five correct scores
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Custom Acca Builder

Form

New York City FC

W 2-0
L 1-2
D 0-0
D 1-1
D 1-1

New York Red Bulls

W 1-0
L 0-2
D 0-0
L 1-3
D 1-1

Head to head

16 May 2026 New York Red Bulls 1 New York City FC 1 Major League Soccer
29 Apr 2026 New York Red Bulls 1 New York City FC 3 US Open Cup
27 Sept 2025 New York Red Bulls 2 New York City FC 3 Major League Soccer

Prediction, preview and head to head: New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

Match analysis

NYCFC have won three of the last four Hudson River Derby meetings with the Red Bulls, including two on the road, and that history anchors Superior's 1-0 projection for 18 September. A 1-1 draw is the alternate, with neither side scoring heavily enough this season to make a wider margin likely.

NYCFC have won three of the last four derby meetings

Those wins have come by 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines on the road and a 2-0 result at home, with the fourth meeting a 1-1 draw, giving NYCFC the clear recent edge in this fixture regardless of venue. Both teams are scoring modestly this season, NYCFC at 1.0 goals a game and Red Bulls at 0.6, and NYCFC's own form, one win and three draws in their last five without a loss since, backs a narrow scoreline over a shootout.

One defeat in five is not much of a dent for the Red Bulls

That single defeat, 1-3 at home, is not representative of a side that has otherwise drawn twice and won once while conceding just six goals across the run. If Red Bulls' own defensive discipline holds in a fixture they know well, the head-to-head history matters less than a scoreless or single-goal draw, which is exactly what Superior's own 1-1 alternate already allows for.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Today's acca

2 matches, total odds 1.50

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More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.83

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-011.2%Our score
1-110.9%Alternative
2-110.2%
2-09.6%
0-06.2%

Top five combined: 48.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNew York City FCxG1.80

AwayNew York Red BullsxG0.97

6.2%

11%

9.6%

6.1%

2.9%

1.1%

0.4%

5.9%

11%

10%

5.8%

2.6%

0.9%

0.4%

2.8%

5.5%

4.7%

3.2%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

1.0%

1.7%

1.6%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.5%

0.4%

0.3%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.6%47.4% No

Over 1.5 76.8%23.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 53.5%46.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 30.8%69.2% Under 3.5

Combos

New York City FC win and over 2.5 goals36.3%
New York City FC win and both teams score25.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%
New York Red Bulls win and over 2.5 goals11.4%

Outcome markets
	New York City FC	New York Red Bulls
Win or draw	79.9%	43.0%
Draw no bet	73.9%	26.1%
Win to nil	31.2%	10.0%
Either team wins	77.1%
Team goals
To score	83.8%	62.7%
Over 1.5 goals	54.0%	25.8%
Clean sheet	37.3%	16.2%

League table

Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	18	7	8	72	34	+38	61
1	Nashville SC	33	22	8	3	69	25	+44	74
2	FC Dallas	33	15	10	8	59	50	+9	55
2	New England Revolution	32	18	4	10	54	44	+10	58
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	14	10	9	56	48	+8	52
3	Inter Miami	32	15	11	6	75	55	+20	56
4	Chicago Fire	33	16	7	10	61	50	+11	55
4	St. Louis City	33	14	9	10	58	48	+10	51
5	Houston Dynamo	32	14	9	9	42	39	+3	51
5	Charlotte	33	15	8	10	63	48	+15	53
6	Philadelphia Union	33	13	8	12	62	51	+11	47
6	Los Angeles FC	32	12	11	9	50	35	+15	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	11	11	11	49	55	-6	44
7	FC Cincinnati	33	12	10	11	67	73	-6	46
8	Colorado Rapids	33	12	7	14	46	47	-1	43
8	Columbus Crew	33	13	5	15	55	49	+6	44
9	Seattle Sounders	33	11	10	12	42	45	-3	43
9	Orlando City SC	33	12	7	14	62	78	-16	43
10	New York City FC	33	9	12	12	48	45	+3	39
10	Real Salt Lake	33	12	6	15	51	51	0	42
11	Toronto FC	33	9	12	12	51	63	-12	39
11	Portland Timbers	32	11	7	14	57	60	-3	40
12	New York Red Bulls	33	11	6	16	45	62	-17	39
12	San Diego	33	9	11	13	57	62	-5	38
13	Atlanta United FC	33	9	6	18	43	57	-14	33
13	Minnesota United FC	32	9	11	12	50	56	-6	38
14	DC United	33	7	12	14	39	60	-21	33
14	Austin	33	8	10	15	42	63	-21	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	6	5	22	39	81	-42	23
15	CF Montreal	33	6	8	19	37	67	-30	26

Major League Soccer - League table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	18	7	8	72	34	38	61	DDLWL
1	Nashville SC	33	22	8	3	69	25	44	74	DLWWW
2	FC Dallas	33	15	10	8	59	50	9	55	DLDWW
2	New England Revolution	32	18	4	10	54	44	10	58	DWDLW
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	14	10	9	56	48	8	52	LDLWL
3	Inter Miami	32	15	11	6	75	55	20	56	DWWWW
4	Chicago Fire	33	16	7	10	61	50	11	55	WLLWW
4	St. Louis City	33	14	9	10	58	48	10	51	DWWWW
5	Houston Dynamo	32	14	9	9	42	39	3	51	WWDDW
5	Charlotte	33	15	8	10	63	48	15	53	LWDWW
6	Philadelphia Union	33	13	8	12	62	51	11	47	WWWLD
6	Los Angeles FC	32	12	11	9	50	35	15	47	DWWWW
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	11	11	11	49	55	-6	44	DDLLD
7	FC Cincinnati	33	12	10	11	67	73	-6	46	WLWWD
8	Colorado Rapids	33	12	7	14	46	47	-1	43	WLWLL
8	Columbus Crew	33	13	5	15	55	49	6	44	DWLWD
9	Seattle Sounders	33	11	10	12	42	45	-3	43	LLLLL
9	Orlando City SC	33	12	7	14	62	78	-16	43	LWWLD
10	New York City FC	33	9	12	12	48	45	3	39	DWWLD
10	Real Salt Lake	33	12	6	15	51	51	0	42	DLLDW
11	Toronto FC	33	9	12	12	51	63	-12	39	DLDDL
11	Portland Timbers	32	11	7	14	57	60	-3	40	WWDWL
12	New York Red Bulls	33	11	6	16	45	62	-17	39	WLLWD
12	San Diego	33	9	11	13	57	62	-5	38	DWLLD
13	Atlanta United FC	33	9	6	18	43	57	-14	33	LLDLL
13	Minnesota United FC	32	9	11	12	50	56	-6	38	DDLDL
14	DC United	33	7	12	14	39	60	-21	33	DWDDD
14	Austin	33	8	10	15	42	63	-21	34	LLWLL
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	6	5	22	39	81	-42	23	LLWLL
15	CF Montreal	33	6	8	19	37	67	-30	26	DLLDD

Bookmaker odds

Match highlights

Premium

Form

Head to head

Match analysis

NYCFC have won three of the last four derby meetings

One defeat in five is not much of a dent for the Red Bulls

Match stats

Match overview

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defending

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