New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction - September 18, 2026
Alternative:1-1
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: New York City FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
NYCFC have won three of the last four Hudson River Derby meetings with the Red Bulls, including two on the road, and that history anchors Superior's 1-0 projection for 18 September. A 1-1 draw is the alternate, with neither side scoring heavily enough this season to make a wider margin likely.
NYCFC have won three of the last four derby meetings
Those wins have come by 3-1 and 3-2 scorelines on the road and a 2-0 result at home, with the fourth meeting a 1-1 draw, giving NYCFC the clear recent edge in this fixture regardless of venue. Both teams are scoring modestly this season, NYCFC at 1.0 goals a game and Red Bulls at 0.6, and NYCFC's own form, one win and three draws in their last five without a loss since, backs a narrow scoreline over a shootout.
One defeat in five is not much of a dent for the Red Bulls
That single defeat, 1-3 at home, is not representative of a side that has otherwise drawn twice and won once while conceding just six goals across the run. If Red Bulls' own defensive discipline holds in a fixture they know well, the head-to-head history matters less than a scoreless or single-goal draw, which is exactly what Superior's own 1-1 alternate already allows for.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.70
See the ticketTelegram
Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.
Join free
Betting Offers
18+ or the legal age in your country. Some links on this page are affiliate links.
Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 1 | New York City FC |
| April 29, 2026 | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 3 | New York City FC |
| September 27, 2025 | New York Red Bulls | 2 - 3 | New York City FC |
| May 17, 2025 | New York City FC | 2 - 0 | New York Red Bulls |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | +30 | 46 | ||
| 1 | 25 | +29 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 25 | +7 | 43 | ||
| 2 | 25 | +15 | 45 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +4 | 43 | ||
| 3 | 25 | +10 | 43 | ||
| 4 | 25 | +8 | 41 | ||
| 4 | 25 | +9 | 40 | ||
| 5 | 24 | +10 | 39 | ||
| 5 | 25 | +7 | 41 | ||
| 6 | 25 | -12 | 34 | ||
| 6 | 26 | +14 | 40 | ||
| 7 | 25 | +6 | 32 | ||
| 7 | 25 | +1 | 35 | ||
| 8 | 25 | 0 | 32 | ||
| 8 | 24 | -7 | 32 | ||
| 9 | 24 | +2 | 30 | ||
| 9 | 24 | +5 | 30 | ||
| 10 | 25 | -15 | 30 | ||
| 10 | 26 | -9 | 30 | ||
| 11 | 24 | -2 | 29 | ||
| 11 | 24 | -7 | 29 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -8 | 29 | ||
| 12 | 25 | -6 | 29 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -7 | 23 | ||
| 13 | 25 | -12 | 29 | ||
| 14 | 23 | -5 | 28 | ||
| 14 | 25 | -14 | 23 | ||
| 15 | 24 | -33 | 18 | ||
| 15 | 25 | -20 | 21 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | DDLWL |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLWWW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | DLDWW |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | WWDDW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | DWDLW |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 41 | LDLWL |
| 4 | Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 39 | WLLWW |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 41 | DWWWW |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 7 | New York City FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 32 | DWWLD |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 35 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 | WWDWL |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 32 | WLWWD |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 30 | WWWLD |
| 9 | San Diego | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 30 | DWLLD |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 30 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 | DDLLD |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 11 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 | DWDDD |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 29 | DLDDL |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 29 | DDLDL |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 23 | DWLWD |
| 13 | Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 29 | LLWLL |
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | DLLDD |
