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Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction - 18 September 2026

EredivisieNetherlandsFull time
Groningen
3-0
PEC Zwolle

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.72Won

59%
Correct score
2-1
Alternative
1-1

Bookmaker odds

1Home
1.55
XDraw
4.52
2Away
5.25
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.11
Under 1.56.45
Over 2.51.39
Under 2.52.98
Over 3.52.06
Under 3.51.76
Both teams to score
Yes1.48
No2.67
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -11.88
Away +11.93
Methodology
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Form

Groningen
  1. D 1-1
  2. D 2-2
  3. L 2-3
  4. L 1-5
  5. W 4-1
PEC Zwolle
  1. L 0-7
  2. D 2-2
  3. L 1-3
  4. W 2-0
  5. L 1-3

Head to head

  1. 13 Mar 2026 PEC Zwolle 1 Groningen 1 Eredivisie
  2. 23 Nov 2025 Groningen 2 PEC Zwolle 2 Eredivisie
  3. 18 May 2025 PEC Zwolle 2 Groningen 0 Eredivisie
Prediction, preview and head to head: Groningen vs PEC Zwolle

Match analysis

A combined 3.2 goals a game is what Groningen and PEC Zwolle are producing this season, and Superior backs that gap to keep Under 3.5 goals alive at 1.72 when they meet on 18 September, priced at 59 percent. Both sides have also played much higher-scoring matches recently, so the total is closer than the price alone suggests.

Groningen and PEC Zwolle average 3.2 combined goals a game

That season-long rate, built from each side's measured scoring and conceding strength, sits under the 3.5 line Superior has backed here, with a 1.72 price that needs about 58 percent to break even against the model's own 59 percent read. Groningen have scored 2.0 goals a game themselves, while PEC Zwolle's 1.2 is the more modest of the two, and it is PEC Zwolle's attack rather than Groningen's defense that keeps the season total under the line.

Seven goals in one game is what broke PEC Zwolle open last time

That result alone would have blown past this line on its own, and four of Groningen's last five matches have produced five or more combined goals too. If either defense repeats one of those recent blowouts instead of the calmer matches mixed in between, this Under fails, and it is PEC Zwolle's defense, shipping fifteen goals in their last five matches, that carries the bigger share of that risk.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Today's acca

2 matches, total odds 1.50
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