Flamengo vs Independiente del Valle Prediction - 18 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.53Won
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 2-0
- Under 3.5 goals
- 5/5Flamengo · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- W 2-1
- W 2-0
- W 1-0
- W 2-0
- W 3-0
- L 0-2
- W 3-1
- L 1-2
- D 2-2
- W 3-1
Head to head
- 11 Sept 2026 Independiente del Valle 0 Flamengo 2 CONMEBOL Libertadores
Match analysis
Five wins in a row and a single goal conceded is the form Flamengo bring into a rematch with Independiente del Valle on 18 September, seven days after beating them 2-0 away. Superior projects a repeat at 1-0, with a more comfortable 2-0 as the alternate.
Flamengo have conceded once in their last five games
That defensive record, alongside five straight wins and ten goals scored, makes Flamengo the form side by a wide margin over an Independiente team that has won two of five, including two defeats that leaked six goals combined. The two sides met just seven days ago, with Flamengo winning 2-0 on the road, a result that lines up closely with both of Superior's readings for this second meeting.
One finish is all Independiente need to trouble that record
Those results show Independiente's attack can still function even against strong opposition, and if that scoring form travels to this fixture, Flamengo's single-goal defensive record this run becomes harder to protect. A repeat of last week's meeting is the more likely path given the current form gap, but if Independiente convert even one attacking chance, this becomes a narrower 1-0 rather than the alternate's more comfortable 2-0.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50Match stats
Match overview
- 52%Ball possession48%
- 1.06Expected goals (xG)1.41
- 2Big chances2
- 10Total shots8
- 3Goalkeeper saves2
- 5Corner kicks3
- 13Fouls3
- 481Passes425
- 4Yellow cards1
- 1Red cards0
Shots
- 3Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target2
- 3Blocked shots2
- 5Shots inside box6
- 5Shots outside box2
Attack
- 131Attacks103
- 0.85Expected assists (xA)0.48
- 8Key passes5
- 7/15 (47%)Dribbles7/20 (35%)
- 0Offsides2
Passes
- 411/481 (85%)Accurate passes346/425 (81%)
- 24/48 (50%)Long balls21/45 (47%)
- 5/16 (31%)Crosses5/26 (19%)
- 101Final third entries61
Defending
- 12/19 (63%)Tackles won9/14 (64%)
- 9Interceptions5
- 26Clearances24
- 12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)
Other
- 3Free kicks13
- 20Throw-ins24
- 6Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 2-0
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-014.5%Our score
- 2-011.9%Alternative
- 1-111.6%
- 2-110.1%
- 0-07.9%
Top five combined: 56.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Flamengo win and over 2.5 goals32.8%
- Flamengo win and both teams score22.4%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals19.4%
- Independiente del Valle win and over 2.5 goals8.4%
| Flamengo | Independiente del Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 82.9% | 40.8% |
| Draw no bet | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Win to nil | 36.8% | 9.6% |
| Either team wins | 76.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 82.5% | 55.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 50.4% | 19.1% |
| Clean sheet | 44.7% | 17.5% |