Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction - 18 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.20Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Brentford · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- W 2-1
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- W 6-1
- D 2-2
- W 6-3
- L 1-2
- W 4-3
- W 2-0
Head to head
- 17 Jan 2026 Chelsea 2 Brentford 0 Premier League
- 13 Sept 2025 Brentford 2 Chelsea 2 Premier League
Match analysis
Chelsea are scoring 3.0 goals a game this season and Brentford 2.6, a combined rate that has Superior backing Over 1.5 goals at 1.20 for their meeting on 18 September, priced at 82 percent. Two of the last three head-to-head meetings between these sides also cleared this line comfortably.
Chelsea are scoring 3.0 goals a game this season
That rate has shown up recently too, with a 6-3 win and a 4-3 win inside their last five matches, while Brentford have scored thirteen goals in their own last five including a 6-1 away win. Two of the last three head-to-head meetings passed this line comfortably, a 2-2 draw and a 0-2 Chelsea win, and the one exception was a 0-0 draw eighteen months ago that neither side's current attack resembles.
Neither attack turned up the last time these two met
That result is the clearest evidence this line can fail, and both defenses have had quiet nights too: Brentford kept a clean sheet in their last home game and Chelsea's own defense has conceded ten goals in five matches but also shut out an opponent as recently as their last outing. If either side's attack goes quiet the way it did in that scoreless meeting, the goals needed to clear 1.5 simply do not arrive.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50Match stats
Match overview
- 41%Ball possession59%
- 2.65Expected goals (xG)0.85
- 4Big chances1
- 13Total shots12
- 2Goalkeeper saves3
- 4Corner kicks12
- 10Fouls7
- 344Passes497
- 2Yellow cards0
Shots
- 6Shots on target2
- 3Shots off target3
- 4Blocked shots7
- 9Shots inside box8
- 4Shots outside box4
Attack
- 1.14Expected assists (xA)0.56
- 7Key passes8
- 4/12 (33%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
- 2Offsides2
Passes
- 274/344 (80%)Accurate passes430/497 (87%)
- 25/50 (50%)Long balls20/48 (42%)
- 4/12 (33%)Crosses2/28 (7%)
- 62Final third entries112
Defending
- 7/14 (50%)Tackles won14/20 (70%)
- 7Interceptions13
- 34Clearances28
- 15/32 (47%)Aerial duels17/32 (53%)
Other
- 7Free kicks10
- 19Throw-ins18
- 9Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.0%Our score
- 2-18.7%Alternative
- 1-28.2%
- 1-06.9%
- 0-16.6%
Top five combined: 41.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Brentford win and over 2.5 goals28.1%
- Chelsea win and over 2.5 goals23.9%
- Brentford win and both teams score22.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.5%
| Brentford | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 64.8% | 59.3% |
| Draw no bet | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Win to nil | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| Either team wins | 76.0% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 79.9% | 77.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 47.9% | 43.7% |
| Clean sheet | 22.5% | 20.1% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | -1 | 10 | |
| 15 | 9 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | -12 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | -6 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | -10 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |