Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prediction - September 18, 2026
Alternative:3-1
Goals: Over 2.51.20
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs Union Berlin?
The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 0, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Bayern München are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Union Berlin have conceded sixteen goals in their last five matches, a defensive record that has Superior backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.20 when they visit Bayern Munich on 18 September, priced at 81 percent. Bayern themselves are scoring 3.2 goals a game and played a Champions League fixture seven days before this one, a normal turnaround rather than a fatigue concern.
Union Berlin have conceded sixteen goals in five games
That includes two defeats by three or more goals and only a single clean sheet the other way, a defensive record that makes a low-scoring afternoon unlikely against a Bayern side averaging 3.2 goals a game themselves. The head-to-head history backs this too: Bayern have won two of the last four meetings by four-goal and three-goal margins, with the other two results also producing multiple goals apiece.
A scoreless draw sits among Bayern's five straight wins
That result, sandwiched between three wins, is proof Bayern's attack can go quiet even against weaker opposition, and a midweek European fixture always carries some chance of squad rotation for the visitors' benefit. If Bayern rest key attackers and Union Berlin manage a rare defensive week, this line has a genuine, if narrow, path to failing despite the scoring gap on both sides.
AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 21, 2026 | Bayern München | 4 - 0 | Union Berlin |
| December 3, 2025 | Union Berlin | 2 - 3 | Bayern München |
| November 8, 2025 | Union Berlin | 2 - 2 | Bayern München |
| March 15, 2025 | Union Berlin | 1 - 1 | Bayern München |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +9 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +6 | 9 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +6 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 5 | 2 | +4 | 4 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +3 | 4 | ||
| 7 | 3 | +3 | 4 | ||
| 8 | 3 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 3 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 11 | 3 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 12 | 2 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 14 | 3 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 3 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -6 | 1 | ||
| 17 | 2 | -7 | 0 | ||
| 18 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | |
| 4 | SV Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | |
| 5 | Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | |
| 10 | FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 11 | FC Koln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | |
| 12 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 |
