Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prediction - 18 September 2026
Our pick:Over 2.5 goals
Odds 1.20Won
- Correct score
- 3-0
- Alternative
- 3-1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5/5Union Berlin · last 5 games
Form
- W 2-1
- W 5-0
- D 0-0
- W 4-1
- W 5-1
- L 1-3
- L 0-4
- D 3-3
- W 4-2
- L 2-4
Head to head
- 21 Mar 2026 Bayern München 4 Union Berlin 0 Bundesliga 1
- 3 Dec 2025 Union Berlin 2 Bayern München 3 DFB Pokal
- 8 Nov 2025 Union Berlin 2 Bayern München 2 Bundesliga 1
Match analysis
Union Berlin have conceded sixteen goals in their last five matches, a defensive record that has Superior backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.20 when they visit Bayern Munich on 18 September, priced at 81 percent. Bayern themselves are scoring 3.2 goals a game and played a Champions League fixture seven days before this one, a normal turnaround rather than a fatigue concern.
Union Berlin have conceded sixteen goals in five games
That includes two defeats by three or more goals and only a single clean sheet the other way, a defensive record that makes a low-scoring afternoon unlikely against a Bayern side averaging 3.2 goals a game themselves. The head-to-head history backs this too: Bayern have won two of the last four meetings by four-goal and three-goal margins, with the other two results also producing multiple goals apiece.
A scoreless draw sits among Bayern's five straight wins
That result, sandwiched between three wins, is proof Bayern's attack can go quiet even against weaker opposition, and a midweek European fixture always carries some chance of squad rotation for the visitors' benefit. If Bayern rest key attackers and Union Berlin manage a rare defensive week, this line has a genuine, if narrow, path to failing despite the scoring gap on both sides.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50Match stats
Match overview
- 68%Ball possession32%
- 3.77Expected goals (xG)0.34
- 6Big chances1
- 23Total shots3
- 2Goalkeeper saves6
- 9Corner kicks2
- 12Fouls9
- 639Passes298
- 1Yellow cards3
Shots
- 15Shots on target2
- 3Shots off target1
- 5Blocked shots0
- 14Shots inside box2
- 9Shots outside box1
Attack
- 3.00Expected assists (xA)0.23
- 18Key passes3
- 16/33 (48%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)
- 2Offsides2
Passes
- 586/639 (92%)Accurate passes224/298 (75%)
- 23/29 (79%)Long balls24/59 (41%)
- 5/21 (24%)Crosses2/6 (33%)
- 262Final third entries31
Defending
- 8/12 (67%)Tackles won15/24 (63%)
- 8Interceptions9
- 6Clearances40
- 8/15 (53%)Aerial duels7/15 (47%)
Other
- 8Free kicks12
- 21Throw-ins14
- 3Goal kicks7
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 2.5
- Correct score: 3-0
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 3-07.7%Our score
- 3-17.1%Alternative
- 4-06.8%
- 2-06.7%
- 4-16.3%
Top five combined: 34.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Bayern München win and over 2.5 goals69.3%
- Bayern München win and both teams score43.4%
- Union Berlin win and over 2.5 goals7.3%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals5.1%
| Bayern München | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 90.2% | 19.6% |
| Draw no bet | 89.2% | 10.8% |
| Win to nil | 37.0% | 3.5% |
| Either team wins | 90.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 95.1% | 61.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% | 27.2% |
| Clean sheet | 38.4% | 4.9% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +19 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | +8 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 8 | +3 | 9 | |
| 10 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | -12 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 18 | |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 | |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 16 | |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 | |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 13 | |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 | |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 | |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 9 | |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 4 |