Malaga vs Villarreal Prediction - 17 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.22Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 1-2
- Over 1.5 goals
- 4/5Malaga · last 5 games
Form
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
- L 0-4
- D 1-1
- L 0-2
- L 1-2
- L 2-3
- L 2-3
- L 0-1
- D 2-2
Match analysis
Villarreal have scored in every one of their last five matches, and that consistency in front of goal is why Superior backs Over 1.5 goals on their trip to Malaga on 17 September, priced at 1.22 and rated 69 percent. Malaga's own attack has managed just 0.4 goals a game, so this pick leans almost entirely on the visitors rather than a shootout from the home side.
Villarreal have found the net in five straight games
Villarreal's last five have produced goals every time, including two 2-3 defeats where their own attack still delivered, and their away form has not gone quiet even in losses. Malaga have managed only one goal across three of their last five matches, so this pick is built on the visitors reaching 1.5 on their own rather than needing a home goal too.
Malaga did keep a clean sheet in their one draw
Malaga's 0-0 draw this run shows their defense can hold for a full match when it needs to, and Villarreal have twice failed to win despite scoring, drawing 2-2 in back to back games. If Malaga's containment shows up rather than the leakier version that shipped four, and Villarreal's finishing goes to waste again, the total stalls below 1.5.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.7%Our score
- 1-29.5%Alternative
- 0-18.9%
- 2-17.6%
- 1-07.2%
Top five combined: 44.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Villarreal win and over 2.5 goals27.2%
- Malaga win and over 2.5 goals19.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals17.6%
- Malaga win and both teams score16.6%
| Malaga | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 57.1% | 68.3% |
| Draw no bet | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Win to nil | 15.1% | 21.3% |
| Either team wins | 74.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 72.8% | 79.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 37.5% | 46.1% |
| Clean sheet | 21.0% | 27.2% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +29 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | +12 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | +15 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | +2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | +1 | 19 | |
| 6 | 9 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 10 | +3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | -8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | -8 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 | 10 | -12 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 27 | |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 25 | |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 24 | |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 | |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 | |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |