Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.32Won

72%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-0
Under 3.5 goals: 5/5Celta Vigo · last 5 games

Form

Omonia Nicosia

D 0-0
W 4-1
L 0-1
D 0-0
W 4-2

Celta Vigo

D 1-1
D 1-1
D 0-0
L 0-2
L 1-2

Bookmaker odds

4.66

3.48

1.81

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.32

Under 1.53.00

Over 2.52.07

Under 2.51.75

Over 3.53.44

Under 3.51.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.90

No1.82

Odd/Even

Odd1.88

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +0.751.78

Away -0.752.03

Methodology

Match analysis

Celta Vigo have scored just 0.4 goals a game on the road, the number driving Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick, priced at 1.32 and rated 69 percent, for their trip to Omonia Nicosia on 16 September. Omonia's own form runs hotter at home, which keeps the pick from being a formality.

Celta Vigo have not scored more than one goal away from home

Celta Vigo's away sample reads two draws with no goals at all and a third with just one apiece, alongside two defeats where they failed to find the net, an away scoring rate of 0.4 goals a game that leaves little room for a high-scoring night in Cyprus. Omonia's own average of 1.6 a game is inflated by two wins with four goals scored, but three of their last five matches, including a scoreless draw and a 0-1 home defeat, finished with one goal or fewer between both teams.

Omonia have already scored four goals twice at home

Omonia put four goals on the board in two of their last five home matches, a 4-1 and a 4-2, both of which would have beaten this line on the home side's finishing alone. Celta Vigo do not need to contribute much offence for that pattern to repeat: if Omonia's attack has another one of those afternoons, four goals arrives even with the visitors held scoreless.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.32
Goals: Under 2.5Won1.87
Correct score: 1-1Lost6.50

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-111.2%Our score
1-010.4%Alternative
2-19.4%
2-08.2%
0-17.6%

Top five combined: 46.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOmonia NicosiaxG1.19

AwayCelta VigoxG1.41

6.3%

10%

8.2%

5.1%

2.0%

1.0%

0.2%

7.6%

11%

9.4%

4.4%

1.7%

0.7%

0.2%

4.8%

6.6%

4.7%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

<0.1%

2.2%

2.7%

1.9%

0.9%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.7%

0.9%

0.6%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 51.1%48.9% No

Over 1.5 75.7%24.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 51.5%48.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 28.2%71.8% Under 3.5

Combos

Omonia Nicosia win and over 2.5 goals29.0%
Omonia Nicosia win and both teams score20.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.5%
Celta Vigo win and over 2.5 goals16.8%

Outcome markets
	Omonia Nicosia	Celta Vigo
Win or draw	70.8%	52.4%
Draw no bet	62.0%	38.0%
Win to nil	27.0%	15.6%
Either team wins	76.8%
Team goals
To score	78.1%	66.7%
Over 1.5 goals	45.9%	31.6%
Clean sheet	33.3%	21.9%