Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction - 16 September 2026

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.50Won

71%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-0
Under 3.5 goals: 5/5Anderlecht · last 5 games

Form

Anderlecht

W 1-0
D 0-0
W 1-0
L 0-3
W 3-0

Lyon

D 0-0
W 3-1
D 1-1
L 1-2
W 2-0

Bookmaker odds

3.02

3.59

2.26

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.20

Under 1.54.58

Over 2.51.66

Under 2.52.22

Over 3.52.65

Under 3.51.48

Both teams to score

Yes1.59

No2.37

Odd/Even

Odd1.96

Even1.84

Handicap

Home +0.251.82

Away -0.251.98

Methodology

Match analysis

Three clean sheets from Anderlecht's last five matches back Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick, priced at 1.5 and rated 71 percent, for the home meeting with Lyon on 16 September. A combined scoring rate of just 2.4 goals a game between these two sides supports the same read.

Three clean sheets in five for the home side

Anderlecht have not conceded in three of their last five matches, including a 3-0 win and a 1-0 win either side of a scoreless draw, and Lyon's away form has produced only one match with more than two total goals, a 3-1 win on the road. Both teams' combined average of 2.4 goals a game sits well clear of the 3.5 line, and neither side's recent sample includes a result that would have threatened it on its own.

A 0-3 defeat is Anderlecht's outlier this run

Anderlecht's single defeat in this run was a 0-3 scoreline, three goals conceded in one match alone, and Lyon's 3-1 away win shows the attack capable of matching that output elsewhere. If Anderlecht's defence has an off night the way it did in that 0-3, and Lyon's better attacking day turns up in Belgium, four goals arrives without needing a genuine goal fest from either side.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.50
Goals: Under 2.5Lost2.30

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-112.2%Our score
1-09.4%Alternative
2-18.6%
0-18.4%
1-27.8%

Top five combined: 46.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAnderlechtxG1.25

AwayLyonxG1.57

6.8%

9.4%

6.3%

3.0%

1.0%

0.4%

<0.1%

8.4%

12%

8.6%

3.7%

1.2%

0.4%

<0.1%

5.9%

7.8%

5.5%

2.5%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

2.8%

3.6%

2.5%

1.1%

0.4%

<0.1%

1.0%

1.3%

0.8%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 54.5%45.5% No

Over 1.5 75.5%24.5% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 51.1%48.9% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 28.8%71.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Anderlecht win and over 2.5 goals22.5%
Lyon win and over 2.5 goals21.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.0%
Anderlecht win and both teams score18.0%

Outcome markets
	Anderlecht	Lyon
Win or draw	63.9%	61.8%
Draw no bet	51.4%	48.6%
Win to nil	20.2%	18.6%
Either team wins	74.3%
Team goals
To score	74.7%	73.0%
Over 1.5 goals	39.8%	38.5%
Clean sheet	27.0%	25.3%