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Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia Prediction - 16 September 2026

UEFA Europa LeagueWorldFull time
Olympiakos Piraeus
2-1
Jagiellonia

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.53Won

77%
Correct score
1-0
Alternative
1-1
Under 3.5 goals
4/5Jagiellonia · last 5 games

Form

Olympiakos Piraeus
  1. L 0-1
  2. W 3-2
  3. D 1-1
  4. W 4-0
  5. W 1-0
Jagiellonia
  1. L 0-2
  2. W 2-1
  3. L 1-2
  4. W 5-2
  5. W 2-1

Bookmaker odds

1Home
1.33
XDraw
5.08
2Away
9.58
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.54.48
Over 2.51.68
Under 2.52.19
Over 3.52.62
Under 3.51.49
Both teams to score
Yes2.00
No1.81
Odd/Even
Odd1.90
Even1.90
Handicap
Home -1.51.96
Away +1.51.84
Methodology
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Match highlights

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Match analysis

A 5-2 result already sits in Jagiellonia's recent form, the outlier keeping Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick from reading as a formality for Olympiakos' home date on 16 September, priced at 1.53 and rated 63 percent, the softest of this window's Under prices. Olympiakos still sit as the clear favourite to control the game.

Olympiakos have kept three matches under three goals

Three of Olympiakos' last five matches finished with one or two total goals, including a 1-0 home defeat and two low-scoring wins, and their favourite status, at odds of 1.40 to win outright, points to a side expected to control the game rather than trade chances. Jagiellonia have been held to one goal or none in two of their own five, a 0-2 loss and a share of a 1-2 defeat, output that does not automatically threaten a high-scoring night on the road.

Seven goals were on the board the last time Jagiellonia's attack clicked away from home

Jagiellonia's 5-2 result this sample, seven goals between both sides, is the clearest reason this pick is not a formality, and Olympiakos have had their own high-scoring afternoons too, a 3-2 win and a 4-0 win inside the same run. If either side's attacking version from those matches turns up instead of the tighter form driving this pick, four goals comes quickly and the Under 3.5 line does not hold.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.53
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-014.8%Our score
  2. 2-011.6%
  3. 1-111.5%Alternative
  4. 2-19.7%
  5. 0-08.6%

Top five combined: 56.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOlympiakos PiraeusxG1.67
AwayJagielloniaxG0.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.6%
15%
12%
6.1%
2.4%
0.8%
0.3%
1
6.8%
12%
9.7%
4.8%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
2.7%
4.6%
3.9%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
0.9%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 44.6%55.4% No
Over 1.5 69.8%30.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.9%56.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.6%77.4% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Olympiakos Piraeus win and over 2.5 goals30.2%
  2. Olympiakos Piraeus win and both teams score20.6%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals20.1%
  4. Jagiellonia win and over 2.5 goals9.1%
Olympiakos PiraeusJagiellonia
Outcome markets
Win or draw81.4%43.3%
Draw no bet75.3%24.7%
Win to nil36.1%10.7%
Either team wins75.3%
Team goals
To score80.7%55.3%
Over 1.5 goals48.0%19.9%
Clean sheet44.7%19.3%

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  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.63
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia