Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction - September 16, 2026

Copa ArgentinaArgentinaPEN
Independ. Rivadavia
2:3Pens
AET 1-1
Atletico Tucuman
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.31price rising, opened at 2.16
Draw2.79price falling, opened at 2.83
Away3.57price falling, opened at 4.13

Market move since Sep 13. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.54price rising, opened at 1.39
Under 1.52.38price falling, opened at 2.59
Over 2.52.65price rising, opened at 2.38
Under 2.51.45price falling, opened at 1.58
Over 3.55.14price rising, opened at 4.15
Under 3.51.14price falling, opened at 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes2.10price rising, opened at 1.98
No1.69price falling, opened at 1.74
Odd/Even
Odd2.02
Even1.74price rising, opened at 1.71
Handicap
Home -0.251.96price rising, opened at 1.80
Away +0.251.85price falling, opened at 2.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Independ. Rivadavia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Atletico Tucuman have scored just 0.8 goals a game away from home, a number behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick, priced at 1.22 and rated 68 percent, for their Copa Argentina tie at Independiente Rivadavia on 16 September. The home side's own defence rating of 6.5 supports the same low-scoring read.

Atletico Tucuman have not been part of a high-scoring match

Atletico Tucuman's away sample includes two scoreless draws and a 1-0 win, with only a 2-1 defeat and a 2-1 win breaking that pattern, a rate of 0.8 goals a game that leaves this tie needing the home side to do almost all the scoring on its own. Independiente Rivadavia carry a defence rating of 6.5, among the steadier marks in the sample, which should in theory keep a low-scoring floor even if their own attack finds the net twice.

A 4-3 shootout already sits in Independiente Rivadavia's form

Independiente Rivadavia's own last five includes a 4-3 win and a second match with four total goals, results that sit awkwardly next to a 6.5 defence rating and next to this Under pick. If the home side's shootout tendency shows up again rather than the tighter finishes at the other end of that sample, Atletico Tucuman only need to score once for four goals to be on the board.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.2%Projected
  2. 1-011.9%Alternative
  3. 2-110.4%
  4. 2-09.3%
  5. 0-17.0%

Top five combined: 48.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeIndepend. RivadaviaxG1.59
AwayAtletico TucumanxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.9%
12%
9.3%
5.2%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.0%
10%
10%
5.6%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
2
3.4%
5.9%
4.2%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.4%
2.0%
1.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.5%48.5% No
Over 1.5 75.2%24.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.2%47.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.4%70.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Independ. Rivadavia win and over 2.5 goals33.4%
Independ. Rivadavia win and both teams score24.6%
Atletico Tucuman win and over 2.5 goals13.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Independ. Rivadavia or draw76.0%
Atletico Tucuman or draw45.3%
Either team wins78.7%
Draw no bet: Independ. Rivadavia69.5%
Draw no bet: Atletico Tucuman30.5%
Independ. Rivadavia win to nil30.1%
Atletico Tucuman win to nil12.5%
Team goals
Independ. Rivadavia to score81.6%
Atletico Tucuman to score64.0%
Independ. Rivadavia over 1.5 goals50.7%
Atletico Tucuman over 1.5 goals27.4%
Independ. Rivadavia clean sheet36.0%
Atletico Tucuman clean sheet18.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Team news

Expected formations

Atletico Tucuman: 4-1-4-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico Tucuman
0 - 0
Independ. Rivadavia
July 26, 2026
Independ. Rivadavia
2 - 1
Atletico Tucuman
January 24, 2026
Independ. Rivadavia vs Atletico Tucuman: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 26, 2026Atletico Tucuman0 - 0Independ. Rivadavia
January 24, 2026Independ. Rivadavia2 - 1Atletico Tucuman