Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

Odds 1.22Lost

80%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-2
Over 1.5 goals: 5/5Hapoel Beer Sheva · last 5 games

Form

Hapoel Beer Sheva

W 2-0
L 1-4
D 2-2
W 2-1
W 2-1

Dinamo Zagreb

L 2-4
W 4-0
W 1-0
D 2-2
L 1-3

Bookmaker odds

4.45

3.78

1.77

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.25

Under 1.53.96

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.99

Over 3.52.99

Under 3.51.39

Both teams to score

Yes1.74

No2.10

Odd/Even

Odd1.96

Even1.84

Handicap

Home +0.751.80

Away -0.752.02

Methodology

Match analysis

Two matches with four goals conceded already sit in Hapoel Beer Sheva's last five, a leaky record behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick, priced at 1.22 and rated 65 percent, for the home date with Dinamo Zagreb on 16 September. Every one of Hapoel's last five games has cleared three total goals.

Every one of Hapoel's last five games has produced three goals or more

Hapoel Beer Sheva's last five matches read 1-4, 2-2, 2-1, 2-1 and 0-4, five results that all cleared three total goals, and two of them saw Hapoel concede four on their own. Dinamo Zagreb have matched that pattern in four of their own five, including a 4-0 win and a 2-4 defeat, so both sides arrive with a recent record built almost entirely on goals at both ends rather than tight, low-event matches.

Dinamo Zagreb's one low-scoring game finished 1-0

Dinamo Zagreb's only match outside that high-scoring pattern was a tight 1-0 win, proof a cagier version of this side exists if it needs to protect a result away from home. Hapoel have not been held without a goal in this sample, but if Dinamo sit in and control the game the way they did in that 1-0, and Hapoel's finishing has an off night, this pick needs a single goal from open play to survive.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Over 1.5Lost1.22

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-110.8%Our score
1-29.6%Alternative
0-18.7%
0-27.1%
2-17.0%

Top five combined: 43.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHapoel Beer ShevaxG1.21

AwayDinamo ZagrebxG1.69

5.2%

6.5%

4.2%

2.0%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

8.7%

11%

7.0%

3.1%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

7.1%

9.6%

6.0%

2.5%

0.8%

0.2%

<0.1%

4.2%

5.1%

3.2%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.8%

2.1%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.7%

0.8%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.2%41.8% No

Over 1.5 79.5%20.5% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 57.4%42.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 34.6%65.4% Under 3.5

Combos

Dinamo Zagreb win and over 2.5 goals30.7%
Hapoel Beer Sheva win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.1%
Hapoel Beer Sheva win and both teams score15.9%

Outcome markets
	Hapoel Beer Sheva	Dinamo Zagreb
Win or draw	53.5%	70.2%
Draw no bet	39.0%	61.0%
Win to nil	13.9%	22.7%
Either team wins	76.3%
Team goals
To score	72.0%	80.9%
Over 1.5 goals	36.9%	49.8%
Clean sheet	19.1%	28.0%