FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci Prediction - September 16, 2026

1st DivisionAlbaniaFull time
FK Kukesi
0:3
Pogradeci
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.27price falling, opened at 4.26
Draw3.18price falling, opened at 3.34
Away2.05price rising, opened at 1.74

Market move since Sep 16. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26
Under 1.53.20
Over 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.87
Under 2.51.78price falling, opened at 1.80
Over 3.53.20price rising, opened at 3.14
Under 3.51.26price falling, opened at 1.27
Both teams to score
Yes1.72price falling, opened at 1.78
No1.96price rising, opened at 1.89
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.79
Handicap
Home +0.251.86
Away -0.251.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Pogradeci are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • FK Kukesi and Pogradeci average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-111.8%Projected
  2. 1-111.8%Alternative
  3. 1-28.9%
  4. 0-28.9%
  5. 1-07.8%

Top five combined: 49.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFK KukesixG0.96
AwayPogradecixG1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.6%
7.8%
4.0%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
12%
12%
6.2%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
8.9%
8.9%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
4.8%
4.3%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
2.0%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.7%50.3% No
Over 1.5 72.7%27.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.0%52.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.4%73.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FK Kukesi win and over 2.5 goals14.3%
FK Kukesi win and both teams score12.0%
Pogradeci win and over 2.5 goals28.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FK Kukesi or draw51.2%
Pogradeci or draw73.9%
Either team wins74.9%
Draw no bet: FK Kukesi34.9%
Draw no bet: Pogradeci65.1%
FK Kukesi win to nil14.2%
Pogradeci win to nil28.5%
Team goals
FK Kukesi to score63.8%
Pogradeci to score78.2%
FK Kukesi over 1.5 goals28.2%
Pogradeci over 1.5 goals45.2%
FK Kukesi clean sheet21.8%
Pogradeci clean sheet36.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.88

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Prediction, preview and head to head: FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci
Head to Head

Head to Head

FK Kukesi vs Pogradeci: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Pogradeci5 - 1FK Kukesi
December 13, 2025Pogradeci2 - 0FK Kukesi
September 27, 2025FK Kukesi1 - 3Pogradeci
League Table

League Table

1st DivisionAlbania · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1220031+26
2211073+44
3211031+24
4211032+14
5211021+14
621013303
720204402
820203302
9201134-11
10201115-41
11200213-20
12200214-30
1st Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Korabi Peshkopi22003126
2Besa Kavajë21107344
3Iliria Fushë-Krujë21103124
4Bylis21103214
5Pogradeci21102114
6FK Kukesi21013303
7Flamurtari20204402
8Burreli20203302
9Kastrioti Krujë201134-11
10Sopoti Librazhd201115-41
11Oriku200213-20
12Besëlidhja Lezhë200214-30