Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla Prediction - September 16, 2026
Alternative:1-0
Goals: Under 3.51.24
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sevilla are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Two goals or fewer settled three of Deportivo La Coruna's last five matches, part of why Superior rates Under 3.5 goals at 75 percent for the home date with Sevilla on 16 September, priced at 1.24. Sevilla have echoed that low-scoring pattern on their own travels.
Three of Deportivo's last five settled at two goals or fewer
Deportivo's scoreline sample splits cleanly: two entries came in at four or five total goals, but the other three settled at one or two, including a 1-1 draw and a 0-1 home defeat last time out. Sevilla have shown the same split on the road, with a 1-0 away win and a 1-1 draw sitting alongside two heavier scorelines, and the two sides' combined scoring rate of 3.2 goals a game sits just inside the 3.5 line rather than clear of it.
Two of Deportivo's last five have already crossed this line
A 3-2 home win and a 3-1 away win both put four or more goals on the board for Deportivo inside their last five matches, and Sevilla have matched that twice themselves, including a 3-1 win and a 1-3 defeat. Both sides carry only three or four days of rest into this one, hardly a factor either way, so if either attack has one of its higher-scoring nights again, four goals is well within range and the Under 3.5 line does not hold.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +15 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +10 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 5 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 11 | 5 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 12 | 5 | -3 | 7 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 5 | -6 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -6 | 2 | ||
| 19 | 5 | -7 | 2 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 12 | |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 12 | |
| 3 | Alaves | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 | |
| 4 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |
| 6 | Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 7 | Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 12 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | |
| 13 | Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2 | |
| 18 | Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 | |
| 19 | Elche | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 | |
| 20 | Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |