Londrina vs Ponte Preta Prediction - 15 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.45Lost
- Correct score
- 2-0
- Alternative
- 1-0
- Under 3.5 goals
- 5/5Londrina · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- W 2-1
- L 1-2
- D 0-0
- L 1-2
- D 0-0
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-6
Head to head
- 18 May 2026 Ponte Preta 1 Londrina 4 Serie B
- 25 Oct 2025 Ponte Preta 2 Londrina 0 Serie C
- 18 Oct 2025 Londrina 0 Ponte Preta 0 Serie C
Match analysis
Londrina sit 18th and Ponte Preta bottom of the table with eleven and twelve matches of Serie B left, and Superior reads that relegation pressure into a cagey scoreline on 15 September: Under 3.5 goals at 1.45, priced at 62 percent. Ponte Preta have failed to score in four of their last five matches.
Ponte Preta have not scored in four of their last five games
Ponte Preta sit bottom of the table on ten points with twelve matches left and a form line of four straight defeats, their attack blanked in four of their last five outings including a 0-6 defeat. Londrina are only three points and two places better off, occupying eighteenth with eleven games remaining, and their own scoring has been similarly rationed at 0.8 goals a game. Two teams fighting to avoid the drop rarely produce an open match, and the model's scoring rates here sit well below the total needed to trouble this line.
Londrina beat Ponte Preta 4-1 earlier this season
Under 3.5 loses only if the sides combine for four goals or more, and the two teams have already shown they can produce that: Londrina won the earlier meeting this season 4-1. The other three head-to-head results tell a different story, finishing 2-0, 0-0 and 0-1, all comfortably under this line. With both sides now needing points rather than goals for their own sake, and Ponte Preta having managed one goal or fewer in four of their last five matches, the tighter script from those three meetings looks the more likely repeat.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50Match stats
Match overview
- 61%Ball possession39%
- 2.76Expected goals (xG)1.00
- 5Big chances3
- 23Total shots14
- 4Goalkeeper saves4
- 10Corner kicks0
- 18Fouls9
- 472Passes319
- 2Yellow cards1
Shots
- 10Shots on target4
- 9Shots off target9
- 4Blocked shots1
- 15Shots inside box8
- 8Shots outside box6
Attack
- 1.34Expected assists (xA)0.42
- 17Key passes10
- 10/19 (53%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)
- 3Offsides0
Passes
- 412/472 (87%)Accurate passes261/319 (82%)
- 39/56 (70%)Long balls14/34 (41%)
- 6/28 (21%)Crosses2/4 (50%)
- 89Final third entries36
Defending
- 8/11 (73%)Tackles won7/11 (64%)
- 9Interceptions9
- 7Clearances26
- 10/18 (56%)Aerial duels8/18 (44%)
Other
- 9Free kicks18
- 20Throw-ins9
- 8Goal kicks10
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 2-0
- Correct score: 1-0
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | +33 | 67 | ||
| 2 | 36 | +22 | 65 | ||
| 3 | 36 | +14 | 63 | ||
| 4 | 36 | +8 | 62 | ||
| 5 | 35 | +12 | 61 | ||
| 6 | 35 | +4 | 55 | ||
| 7 | 36 | +9 | 55 | ||
| 8 | 35 | +9 | 54 | ||
| 9 | 35 | -4 | 52 | ||
| 10 | 36 | +11 | 52 | ||
| 11 | 36 | -2 | 51 | ||
| 12 | 36 | +2 | 48 | ||
| 13 | 36 | +3 | 47 | ||
| 14 | 36 | -6 | 46 | ||
| 15 | 35 | 0 | 44 | ||
| 16 | 35 | -7 | 43 | ||
| 17 | 36 | -13 | 37 | ||
| 18 | 36 | -9 | 32 | ||
| 19 | 36 | -29 | 26 | ||
| 20 | 36 | -57 | 15 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 67 | WLLLW |
| 2 | Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 65 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 62 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 61 | WLWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 55 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 55 | DDDDL |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 54 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Goias | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 52 | LDWDW |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 52 | LLDDL |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 51 | LWDWW |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 48 | LWDDW |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 47 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 46 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 44 | DWDDL |
| 16 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 43 | WLDDL |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 37 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 32 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 26 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 78 | -57 | 15 | DLLLL |