Alaves vs Valencia Prediction - September 15, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.24
What is the prediction for Alaves vs Valencia?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Alaves are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Valencia have scored one goal and conceded ten across their last five matches, including a 0-5 defeat, and Superior reads that collapse into Under 3.5 goals for this trip to Alaves on 15 September, priced at 1.24 and backed at 60 percent. Alaves have scored freely at home this season, but a team finding the net barely once every five games rarely turns a match into a shootout by itself.
Valencia have scored once in their last five matches
That single goal from Valencia's last five outings came in a 1-3 defeat, and the rest of the stretch has produced two goalless performances and a 0-5 collapse away from home. Alaves, by contrast, have won four of their last five and scored at least once in every one of them, averaging 2.6 goals a game at home. Superior's scoring model reads Alaves' home attack as more than capable of the single goal or two needed here, with Valencia offering little resistance and even less going forward.
Alaves have scored five goals in a single match this season
Under 3.5 loses if this reaches four goals combined, and Alaves have the recent scoring burst to get there alone: a 5-2 win sits inside their last five matches, four goals or more inside ninety minutes without any help from the opponent. Valencia's own defence has conceded three or more in two of their last five games too, so a fast Alaves start is not out of the question. Valencia's attack has offered essentially nothing in reply all stretch, though, which keeps the total more likely to land on Alaves doing all the scoring in a two or three goal home win rather than an open match reaching four.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
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More La Liga Predictions
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 8, 2026 | Valencia | 3 - 2 | Alaves |
| October 20, 2025 | Alaves | 0 - 0 | Valencia |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +15 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +7 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 5 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +7 | 9 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +3 | 8 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | -1 | 7 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 10 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 12 | 4 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 13 | 4 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 5 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 2 | ||
| 18 | 4 | -6 | 2 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -7 | 1 | ||
| 20 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 12 | |
| 2 | Alaves | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| 3 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |
| 6 | Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 11 | Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 12 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | |
| 15 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2 | |
| 18 | Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 2 | |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 | |
| 20 | Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |