Alaves vs Valencia Prediction - 15 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.24Won
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5Alaves · last 5 games
Form
- L 1-2
- W 5-2
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-0
- L 0-1
- L 0-5
- L 1-3
- L 0-1
- D 0-0
Head to head
- 8 Mar 2026 Valencia 3 Alaves 2 La Liga
- 20 Oct 2025 Alaves 0 Valencia 0 La Liga
Match analysis
Valencia have scored one goal and conceded ten across their last five matches, including a 0-5 defeat, and Superior reads that collapse into Under 3.5 goals for this trip to Alaves on 15 September, priced at 1.24 and backed at 60 percent. Alaves have scored freely at home this season, but a team finding the net barely once every five games rarely turns a match into a shootout by itself.
Valencia have scored once in their last five matches
That single goal from Valencia's last five outings came in a 1-3 defeat, and the rest of the stretch has produced two goalless performances and a 0-5 collapse away from home. Alaves, by contrast, have won four of their last five and scored at least once in every one of them, averaging 2.6 goals a game at home. Superior's scoring model reads Alaves' home attack as more than capable of the single goal or two needed here, with Valencia offering little resistance and even less going forward.
Alaves have scored five goals in a single match this season
Under 3.5 loses if this reaches four goals combined, and Alaves have the recent scoring burst to get there alone: a 5-2 win sits inside their last five matches, four goals or more inside ninety minutes without any help from the opponent. Valencia's own defence has conceded three or more in two of their last five games too, so a fast Alaves start is not out of the question. Valencia's attack has offered essentially nothing in reply all stretch, though, which keeps the total more likely to land on Alaves doing all the scoring in a two or three goal home win rather than an open match reaching four.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-0
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-012.8%Our score
- 1-112.7%Alternative
- 2-19.9%
- 2-09.3%
- 0-07.9%
Top five combined: 52.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Alaves win and over 2.5 goals30.0%
- Alaves win and both teams score21.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals20.6%
- Valencia win and over 2.5 goals11.3%
| Alaves | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 78.1% | 48.0% |
| Draw no bet | 70.4% | 29.6% |
| Win to nil | 30.4% | 12.1% |
| Either team wins | 74.0% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 80.0% | 61.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 46.6% | 24.2% |
| Clean sheet | 38.3% | 20.0% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61
Formations
Confirmed formations
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +29 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | +12 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | +15 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | +2 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | +1 | 19 | |
| 6 | 9 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 12 | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 10 | +3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | +1 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | -8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | -8 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 | 10 | -12 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 27 | |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 25 | |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 24 | |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 20 | |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 | |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 | |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 | |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 | |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |