FC Midtjylland vs Brondby Prediction - September 14, 2026

SuperligaDenmarkFull time
FC Midtjylland
4:1
Brondby
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.78price falling, opened at 1.91
Draw3.74price rising, opened at 3.54
Away4.17price rising, opened at 3.83

Market move since Sep 11. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price falling, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.50price rising, opened at 4.33
Over 2.51.55price falling, opened at 1.59
Under 2.52.35price rising, opened at 2.31
Over 3.52.24price falling, opened at 2.29
Under 3.51.52price rising, opened at 1.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.52price rising, opened at 1.51
No2.37price falling, opened at 2.39
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price falling, opened at 1.90
Even1.80price rising, opened at 1.78
Handicap
Home -0.751.89price falling, opened at 2.06
Away +0.751.76price rising, opened at 1.65

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Brondby?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Midtjylland are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match analysis

Five meetings between Midtjylland and Brondby have produced goals nearly every time, and Superior prices Over 1.5 at 1.2 for their 14 September meeting, a 55 percent call from the model, some 28 points under the price's own break even rate.

The 1.2 price needs about 83 percent to break even

At 1.2, Over 1.5 needs to land close to 83 percent of the time before the standard market margin to break even, well above the 55 percent the model gives this specific pick. That gap reflects how short a price this is rather than a genuine edge, so the case has to be built on the sides' actual scoring level instead.

These two sides have combined for goals in nearly every recent meeting

Midtjylland and Brondby have met five times in the recent record, and the two most recent meetings produced five and three goals apiece, both comfortably clearing this line. Midtjylland are averaging 3.2 goals a game of their own this season, including a 7-0 win in their last outing, while Brondby have conceded eleven goals across their last two matches alone.

Brondby have failed to score in their last two matches

Brondby have been shut out in each of their last two matches, losing 0-3 at home to Randers and 1-3 away at Nordsjaelland, the away goal there their only one recently. Over 1.5 only needs two goals in total, so Midtjylland's attacking form makes a repeat blank unlikely to matter, but a defensive lockdown from Midtjylland themselves remains the one path to a 1-0 or 0-0 beating this pick.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.5%Our score
  2. 2-110.2%Alternative
  3. 2-09.0%
  4. 1-08.4%
  5. 3-17.2%

Top five combined: 43.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC MidtjyllandxG1.99
AwayBrondbyxG1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.6%
8.4%
9.0%
6.5%
4.3%
2.1%
0.9%
1
3.8%
8.5%
10%
7.2%
3.9%
1.8%
0.8%
2
2.2%
4.7%
5.1%
3.9%
2.1%
0.9%
0.4%
3
0.9%
1.8%
1.8%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.9%42.1% No
Over 1.5 84.2%15.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 64.6%35.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 42.3%57.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Midtjylland win and over 2.5 goals46.4%
FC Midtjylland win and both teams score32.6%
Brondby win and over 2.5 goals11.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FC Midtjylland or draw82.4%
Brondby or draw36.2%
Either team wins81.3%
Draw no bet: FC Midtjylland78.4%
Draw no bet: Brondby21.6%
FC Midtjylland win to nil31.2%
Brondby win to nil7.3%
Team goals
FC Midtjylland to score89.1%
Brondby to score65.2%
FC Midtjylland over 1.5 goals65.0%
Brondby over 1.5 goals29.0%
FC Midtjylland clean sheet34.8%
Brondby clean sheet10.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.61

See the ticket

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free
Team news

Confirmed formations

FC Midtjylland: 3-5-2(confirmed lineup)Brondby: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Midtjylland vs Brondby
Head to Head

Head to Head

FC Midtjylland
2 - 3
Brondby
May 17, 2026
Brondby
1 - 2
FC Midtjylland
April 12, 2026
FC Midtjylland
0 - 0
Brondby
March 1, 2026
Brondby
1 - 3
FC Midtjylland
August 31, 2025
Brondby
1 - 2
FC Midtjylland
May 19, 2025
FC Midtjylland vs Brondby: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 17, 2026FC Midtjylland2 - 3Brondby
April 12, 2026Brondby1 - 2FC Midtjylland
March 1, 2026FC Midtjylland0 - 0Brondby
August 31, 2025Brondby1 - 3FC Midtjylland
May 19, 2025Brondby1 - 2FC Midtjylland
League Table

League Table

SuperligaDenmark · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Copenhagen
8701228+1421
2
FC Midtjylland
9540179+819
3
FC Nordsjaelland
8521136+717
4
Viborg
8422117+414
5
Brondby
84131214-213
6
Silkeborg
92431212010
7
FC Horsens
83141314-110
8
Randers FC
8314910-110
9
Odense
9234814-69
10
Lyngby
91441016-67
11
Aarhus
8044915-64
12
Sonderjyske
8026819-112
Superliga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1FC Copenhagen87012281421
2FC Midtjylland9540179819
3FC Nordsjaelland8521136717
4Viborg8422117414
5Brondby84131214-213
6Silkeborg92431212010
7FC Horsens83141314-110
8Randers FC8314910-110
9Odense9234814-69
10Lyngby91441016-67
11Aarhus8044915-64
12Sonderjyske8026819-112