Paredes vs Fafe Prediction - September 13, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Paredes
2:1
Fafe
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.18price falling, opened at 2.28
Draw3.12price rising, opened at 3.10
Away3.43price rising, opened at 2.94

Market move since Sep 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.00price rising, opened at 2.81
Over 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.10
Under 2.51.67price rising, opened at 1.64
Over 3.53.71price falling, opened at 3.72
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes1.93price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Odd/Even
Odd2.02price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.74price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.80price falling, opened at 1.94
Away +0.252.01price rising, opened at 1.75

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Paredes vs Fafe?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Paredes are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Paredes and Fafe average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.8%Projected
  2. 1-113.2%Alternative
  3. 0-011.8%
  4. 0-19.5%
  5. 2-09.4%

Top five combined: 58.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeParedesxG1.32
AwayFafexG0.87
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
15%
9.4%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
9.5%
13%
9.0%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
3.8%
5.6%
3.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.2%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.6%56.4% No
Over 1.5 63.9%36.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.5%62.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 17.8%82.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Paredes win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
Paredes win and both teams score16.6%
Fafe win and over 2.5 goals11.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Paredes or draw75.6%
Fafe or draw53.6%
Either team wins70.7%
Draw no bet: Paredes65.5%
Draw no bet: Fafe34.5%
Paredes win to nil29.7%
Fafe win to nil15.0%
Team goals
Paredes to score73.3%
Fafe to score58.5%
Paredes over 1.5 goals37.4%
Fafe over 1.5 goals21.8%
Paredes clean sheet41.5%
Fafe clean sheet26.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Paredes vs Fafe
Head to Head

Head to Head

Paredes vs Fafe: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 22, 2026Fafe1 - 0Paredes
March 8, 2026Paredes0 - 0Fafe
November 29, 2025Fafe2 - 1Paredes
August 17, 2025Paredes1 - 1Fafe
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81