Comercial vs São José Esporte Clube Prediction - September 13, 2026

Copa PaulistaBrazilFull time
Comercial
0:0
São José Esporte Clube
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.31
Draw3.14
Away2.08

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30
Under 1.52.97
Over 2.52.05
Under 2.51.67
Over 3.53.58
Under 3.51.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.81
No1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.79
Handicap
Home +0.251.86
Away -0.251.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Comercial vs São José Esporte Clube?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: São José Esporte Clube are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Comercial and São José Esporte Clube average 2.1 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-115.5%Projected
  2. 0-015.2%Alternative
  3. 1-113.4%
  4. 1-013.2%
  5. 0-27.9%

Top five combined: 65.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeComercialxG0.87
AwaySão José Esporte ClubexG1.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15%
13%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
15%
13%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
7.9%
6.8%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
2.7%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 36.9%63.1% No
Over 1.5 56.1%43.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 29.1%70.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 12.2%87.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Comercial win and over 2.5 goals11.1%
Comercial win and both teams score9.1%
São José Esporte Clube win and over 2.5 goals14.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals28.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Comercial or draw62.0%
São José Esporte Clube or draw69.9%
Either team wins68.1%
Draw no bet: Comercial44.1%
Draw no bet: São José Esporte Clube55.9%
Comercial win to nil21.0%
São José Esporte Clube win to nil26.8%
Team goals
Comercial to score57.9%
São José Esporte Clube to score63.8%
Comercial over 1.5 goals21.5%
São José Esporte Clube over 1.5 goals27.0%
Comercial clean sheet36.2%
São José Esporte Clube clean sheet42.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Comercial vs São José Esporte Clube