Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.37

Draw3.04

Away3.10

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.36

Under 1.52.70

Over 2.52.27

Under 2.51.60

Over 3.54.10

Under 3.51.16

Both teams to score

Yes1.89

No1.81

Odd/Even

Odd1.92

Even1.79

Handicap

Home -0.251.98

Away +0.251.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Santa Fe are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 9, 2026, 00:02 UTCModel CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

Santa Fe and Deportes Tolima average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-012.9%Projected
1-112.8%Alternative
0-09.3%
0-19.3%
2-08.9%

Top five combined: 53.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSanta FexG1.38

AwayDeportes TolimaxG0.99

9.3%

13%

8.9%

4.1%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

9.3%

13%

8.8%

4.1%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

4.6%

6.3%

4.4%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

1.5%

2.1%

1.4%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.4%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.1%52.9% No

Over 1.5 68.5%31.5% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 42.3%57.7% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 21.5%78.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Santa Fe win and over 2.5 goals24.0%

Santa Fe win and both teams score18.0%

Deportes Tolima win and over 2.5 goals13.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals22.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Santa Fe or draw73.0%

Deportes Tolima or draw54.2%

Either team wins72.8%

Draw no bet: Santa Fe63.0%

Draw no bet: Deportes Tolima37.0%

Santa Fe win to nil27.8%

Deportes Tolima win to nil15.8%

Team goals

Santa Fe to score74.8%

Deportes Tolima to score62.9%

Santa Fe over 1.5 goals40.1%

Deportes Tolima over 1.5 goals26.1%

Santa Fe clean sheet37.1%

Deportes Tolima clean sheet25.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

3 selections at 1.95

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima

Head to Head

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 5, 2026	Deportes Tolima	2 - 2	Santa Fe
November 29, 2025	Deportes Tolima	1 - 0	Santa Fe
November 26, 2025	Santa Fe	1 - 2	Deportes Tolima
July 19, 2025	Deportes Tolima	0 - 1	Santa Fe

League Table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10

Primera A - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	20	40	WWLWW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31	24	7	35	LLLWW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29	25	4	34	LLLLL
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25	15	10	33	WWLDW
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	9	33	DWDLW
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	10	31	WWLLW
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	7	29	DLLDW
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28	LLLLW
8	La Equidad FC	19	7	7	5	26	26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	4	27	LWDWL
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	8	26	WLDWL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	2	26	WWLWW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26	WWWDL
12	Rionegro Aguilas	19	7	5	7	20	25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	6	23	DWLDL
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	-3	22	DWLDL
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22	DDWLL
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	-13	18	LLWDL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17	LDDDL
17	Alianza Petrolera	19	3	8	8	13	27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	-17	17	LWLLW
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16	LLDLW
19	Cúcuta Deportivo	19	3	7	9	22	35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15	32	-17	10	DLLWL

Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction - September 12, 2026

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What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table

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