Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha Prediction - September 12, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Lusitano Évora 1911
2:2
SC Covilha
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Match Winner: Home2.06Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.07
Draw2.90
Away3.60

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.44
Under 1.52.63
Over 2.52.40
Under 2.51.50
Over 3.54.50
Under 3.51.18
Both teams to score
Yes2.05
No1.70
Handicap
Home +01.45
Away +02.43

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Lusitano Évora 1911 won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
  • Lusitano Évora 1911 average 1.0 goals per match against 0.8 for SC Covilha.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-017.5%Projected
  2. 2-012.6%Alternative
  3. 0-012.2%
  4. 1-111.7%
  5. 2-18.4%

Top five combined: 62.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLusitano Évora 1911xG1.44
AwaySC CovilhaxG0.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
17%
13%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
0.2%
1
8.2%
12%
8.4%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
2.7%
3.9%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 37.2%62.8% No
Over 1.5 62.2%37.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.2%64.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.3%83.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lusitano Évora 1911 win and over 2.5 goals25.6%
Lusitano Évora 1911 win and both teams score16.6%
SC Covilha win and over 2.5 goals6.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw82.6%
SC Covilha or draw44.4%
Either team wins73.0%
Draw no bet: Lusitano Évora 191176.2%
Draw no bet: SC Covilha23.8%
Lusitano Évora 1911 win to nil39.0%
SC Covilha win to nil11.6%
Team goals
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score76.2%
SC Covilha to score48.8%
Lusitano Évora 1911 over 1.5 goals42.1%
SC Covilha over 1.5 goals14.6%
Lusitano Évora 1911 clean sheet51.2%
SC Covilha clean sheet23.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs SC Covilha: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 18, 2026Lusitano Évora 19111 - 0SC Covilha
March 14, 2026SC Covilha1 - 3Lusitano Évora 1911
January 4, 2026Lusitano Évora 19112 - 1SC Covilha
November 22, 2025SC Covilha0 - 2Lusitano Évora 1911
September 28, 2025SC Covilha1 - 1Lusitano Évora 1911
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81