Lexington W vs Carolina Ascent W Prediction - September 11, 2026

USL Super LeagueUSAFull time
Lexington W
0:1
Carolina Ascent W
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.49
Draw3.28
Away2.46

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.23
Under 1.53.42
Over 2.51.85
Under 2.51.84
Over 3.53.14
Under 3.51.27
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +01.85
Away +01.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lexington W vs Carolina Ascent W?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Carolina Ascent W are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Lexington W and Carolina Ascent W average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-115.1%Projected
  2. 0-014.9%Alternative
  3. 1-113.4%
  4. 1-013.3%
  5. 0-27.6%

Top five combined: 64.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLexington WxG0.89
AwayCarolina Ascent WxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15%
13%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
15%
13%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
7.6%
6.8%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
2.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 37.5%62.5% No
Over 1.5 56.7%43.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 29.7%70.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 12.6%87.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lexington W win and over 2.5 goals11.7%
Lexington W win and both teams score9.5%
Carolina Ascent W win and over 2.5 goals14.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals28.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lexington W or draw62.6%
Carolina Ascent W or draw69.1%
Either team wins68.3%
Draw no bet: Lexington W45.2%
Draw no bet: Carolina Ascent W54.8%
Lexington W win to nil21.4%
Carolina Ascent W win to nil26.2%
Team goals
Lexington W to score58.9%
Carolina Ascent W to score63.7%
Lexington W over 1.5 goals22.4%
Carolina Ascent W over 1.5 goals26.9%
Lexington W clean sheet36.3%
Carolina Ascent W clean sheet41.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.60

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Lexington W vs Carolina Ascent W
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lexington W vs Carolina Ascent W: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Carolina Ascent W1 - 0Lexington W
February 7, 2026Carolina Ascent W1 - 2Lexington W
October 10, 2025Lexington W1 - 1Carolina Ascent W
League Table

League Table

USL Super LeagueUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1540193+612
2531196+310
352127707
4421176+17
5521286+27
6310243+13
7410326-43
85104413-93
USL Super League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Carolina Ascent W540193612
2Sporting JAX W531196310
3Dallas Trinity W52127707
4Tampa Bay Sun W42117617
5DC Power W52128627
6Lexington W31024313
7Fort Lauderdale United W410326-43
8Brooklyn W5104413-93