Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessaloniki Prediction - September 10, 2026

CupGreeceFull time
Asteras Tripolis
1:1
Aris Thessaloniki
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.27Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.99price rising, opened at 2.91
Draw3.18price rising, opened at 3.04
Away2.21price falling, opened at 2.33

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.20price rising, opened at 2.83
Over 2.51.88price falling, opened at 2.08
Under 2.51.81price rising, opened at 1.65
Over 3.53.08price falling, opened at 3.58
Under 3.51.28price rising, opened at 1.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.69price falling, opened at 1.81
No2.00price rising, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Even1.80price rising, opened at 1.79
Handicap
Home +0.251.77price rising, opened at 1.72
Away -0.251.88price falling, opened at 1.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessaloniki?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Aris Thessaloniki are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessaloniki average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-118.6%Projected
  2. 0-213.4%
  3. 0-012.8%Alternative
  4. 1-111.2%
  5. 1-28.1%

Top five combined: 64.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAsteras TripolisxG0.61
AwayAris ThessalonikixG1.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13%
7.8%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
19%
11%
3.4%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
2
13%
8.1%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
3
6.5%
3.9%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
2.3%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 34.7%65.3% No
Over 1.5 60.8%39.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 33.7%66.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 15.2%84.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Asteras Tripolis win and over 2.5 goals5.4%
Asteras Tripolis win and both teams score4.8%
Aris Thessaloniki win and over 2.5 goals25.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals24.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Asteras Tripolis or draw42.3%
Aris Thessaloniki or draw84.5%
Either team wins73.2%
Draw no bet: Asteras Tripolis21.2%
Draw no bet: Aris Thessaloniki78.8%
Asteras Tripolis win to nil10.7%
Aris Thessaloniki win to nil41.8%
Team goals
Asteras Tripolis to score45.4%
Aris Thessaloniki to score76.5%
Asteras Tripolis over 1.5 goals12.4%
Aris Thessaloniki over 1.5 goals42.4%
Asteras Tripolis clean sheet23.5%
Aris Thessaloniki clean sheet54.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessaloniki