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Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction - 9 October 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Kashima
2-0
Gamba Osaka

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

83%Odds 1.19Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

4/5 Over 1.5 goals Kashima · last 5 games

Form

Kashima
  1. W 3-1
  2. D 3-3
  3. W 7-1
  4. L 1-2
  5. L 0-1
Gamba Osaka
  1. D 3-3
  2. W 5-0
  3. L 0-1
  4. W 4-1
  5. L 0-2

Head to head

  1. 5 Oct 2025 Kashima 0 Gamba Osaka 0 J. League Div.1
  2. 31 May 2025 Gamba Osaka 0 Kashima 1 J. League Div.1
  3. 26 Jun 2024 Kashima 0 Gamba Osaka 0 J1 League

Bookmaker odds

Home1.69price falling, opened at 1.83
Draw4.06price rising, opened at 3.92
Away4.68price rising, opened at 3.92
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14
Under 1.54.45
Over 2.51.58
Under 2.52.37
Over 3.52.28price falling, opened at 2.30
Under 3.51.50price rising, opened at 1.49
Both teams to score
Yes1.57price rising, opened at 1.53
No2.25price falling, opened at 2.35
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.77price falling, opened at 1.95
Away +0.751.88price rising, opened at 1.71
Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Kashima vs Gamba Osaka on 9 October ends a 16-day gap for both clubs, who last played on 23 September, and Superior's pick for their return is Over 1.5 goals. The price is 1.19 and the model puts two or more goals at 83 percent, with Kashima averaging 2.8 goals a game and Gamba 1.8.

Gamba beat Tokushima Vortis 5-0 on 23 September

Both sides went into the break scoring freely, Kashima beating Ventforet Kofu 3-1 and Gamba beating Tokushima Vortis 5-0 on the same night. Kashima's 2.8 goals a game is lifted by a 7-1 win over Newcastle Jets, but their 3-3 draw at Kawasaki Frontale on 19 September came against a J1 rival. The model builds expected goals from measured scoring and conceding, controls thin samples against league baselines, and lands on 1-1 as the forecast correct score, with 2-1 the alternative.

Last season's two meetings finished 0-0 and 1-0

Kashima and Gamba drew 0-0 in October 2025, and Kashima won 1-0 in Osaka that May. Both results lose Over 1.5. Kashima also lost 1-0 at home to Urawa on 6 September and Gamba were beaten 1-0 at home by Vissel Kobe on 20 September, so a single-goal game is a real route for this fixture.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.19
  • Correct score: 2-1Lost7.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.4%Our score
  2. 2-19.7%Alternative
  3. 1-08.3%
  4. 2-07.3%
  5. 1-27.1%

Top five combined: 43.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKashimaxG1.76
AwayGamba OsakaxG1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0%
8.3%
7.3%
4.2%
2.0%
0.7%
0.3%
1
6.0%
11%
9.7%
5.6%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
2
3.8%
7.1%
6.3%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.8%
2.8%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 59.9%40.1% No
Over 1.5 80.7%19.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.3%41.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.4%64.6% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Kashima win and over 2.5 goals32.6%
  2. Kashima win and both teams score25.4%
  3. Gamba Osaka win and over 2.5 goals17.8%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals16.4%
KashimaGamba Osaka
Outcome markets
Win or draw72.5%51.9%
Draw no bet63.6%36.4%
Win to nil22.7%12.4%
Either team wins75.6%
Team goals
To score82.6%72.3%
Over 1.5 goals51.8%36.2%
Clean sheet27.7%17.4%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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Formations

Confirmed formations

Kashima: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)Gamba Osaka: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
League table

League table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
197022114+721
29621226+1620
396212210+1220
49621178+920
59612149+519
695131916+316
79432139+415
893421714+313
994141212013
10941489-113
1194051621-512
129333712-512
1392341213-19
1492341116-59
159306915-69
1692251116-58
1792161113-27
189135816-86
199126819-115
209045414-104
J1 League - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol97022114721
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima96212261620
3Machida Zelvia962122101220
4FC Tokyo9621178920
5Vissel Kobe9612149519
6Kashima95131916316
7Yokohama F. Marinos9432139415
8Kawasaki Frontale93421714313
9Fagiano Okayama94141212013
10Shimizu S-pulse941489-113
11Urawa94051621-512
12Cerezo Osaka9333712-512
13Mito Hollyhock92341213-19
14V-varen Nagasaki92341116-59
15Nagoya Grampus9306915-69
16Kyoto Sanga92251116-58
17Avispa Fukuoka92161113-27
18Gamba Osaka9135816-86
19JEF United Chiba9126819-115
20Tokyo Verdy9045414-104