Russia vs Nigeria Prediction - 6 October 2026
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 2-2
Form
- W 6-0
- W 2-0
- W 3-0
- W 3-0
- L 0-1
- L 0-3
- W 2-1
- L 1-2
- D 2-2
- W 2-0
Head to head
- 6 Jun 2025 Russia 1 Nigeria 1 Friendlies
Match analysis
Russia beat Iran 2-0 at home on 29 September, their fourth clean sheet in five, and Superior projects a 1-0 Russia win over Nigeria on 6 October, with 2-2 as the alternative. Nigeria lost 3-0 in Guinea-Bissau on the same night.
Russia have conceded once in five games
Russia beat Trinidad and Tobago 3-0 and Burkina Faso 3-0 at home in June and drew 0-0 with Mali in March; the only goal against them came in a 1-0 defeat in Egypt in May. Superior's model sets each side's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding strength, and a defence giving up 0.2 a game pulls Nigeria's rate down hard enough that one Russian goal is the likeliest margin.
Nigeria score 1.4 goals a game
Nigeria beat Madagascar 2-1 on 25 September, drew 2-2 in Poland and scored in a 2-1 defeat in Portugal in June, and their attack is rated 6.5 against a Russian defence at 5.9. A Nigerian goal breaks the 1-0, and the only recent meeting, a 1-1 in Russia in June 2025, shows that a draw is a short step away.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostMatch stats
Match overview
- 63%Ball possession37%
- 1.70Expected goals (xG)0.82
- 3Big chances1
- 17Total shots10
- 3Goalkeeper saves3
- 7Corner kicks3
- 17Fouls10
- 541Passes324
- 2Yellow cards2
Shots
- 6Shots on target6
- 8Shots off target3
- 3Blocked shots1
- 11Shots inside box6
- 6Shots outside box4
Attack
- 1.47Expected assists (xA)0.76
- 12Key passes7
- 5/12 (42%)Dribbles10/14 (71%)
- 2Offsides2
Passes
- 468/541 (87%)Accurate passes254/324 (78%)
- 21/42 (50%)Long balls21/58 (36%)
- 3/19 (16%)Crosses1/6 (17%)
- 127Final third entries27
Defending
- 9/11 (82%)Tackles won10/19 (53%)
- 10Interceptions15
- 11Clearances24
- 3/12 (25%)Aerial duels9/12 (75%)
Other
- 10Free kicks16
- 12Throw-ins18
- 3Goal kicks11