Colombia vs Peru Prediction - 6 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.36Won
- Correct score
- 2-0
- Alternative
- 4-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Peru · last 5 games
Form
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
- W 1-0
- D 0-0
- L 0-2
- D 1-1
- L 1-4
- L 1-3
- W 2-1
Head to head
- 6 Jun 2025 Colombia 0 Peru 0 World Cup - Qualification South America
- 7 Sept 2024 Peru 1 Colombia 1 World Cup - Qualification South America
- 28 Jan 2022 Colombia 0 Peru 1 World Cup - Qualification South America
Match analysis
Colombia vs Peru on 6 October comes ten days after Peru were beaten 4-1 in the United States, and Superior's correct score is a 2-0 Colombia win, with 4-1 the alternative. Colombia have conceded two goals in their last five games and kept three clean sheets.
Colombia have kept three clean sheets in five
Colombia beat Ghana 1-0 and Congo DR 1-0 and drew 0-0 with Portugal in June and July, then drew 1-1 in Mexico on 27 September. Superior's model sets expected goals from what each side scores and what its opponent concedes, and a Colombian defence giving up 0.4 goals a game is the reason Peru are projected on zero, while Colombia's 1.2 a game is enough for the second goal against a Peru side that conceded 11 in their last five.
Peru have not been shut out since March
Peru found the net in each of their last five, including 1-1 in Mexico on 30 September and 2-2 with Honduras in March, and they average 1.4 goals a game against Colombia's 1.2. A single Peru goal breaks the 2-0, and the last meeting, a 0-0 in Colombia in June 2025, shows the night can stall at the other end too.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66LostMore Friendlies predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 75%Ball possession25%
- 1.53Expected goals (xG)0.36
- 2Big chances0
- 16Total shots5
- 0Goalkeeper saves3
- 12Corner kicks0
- 16Fouls12
- 551Passes191
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards1
Shots
- 5Shots on target0
- 4Shots off target5
- 7Blocked shots0
- 9Shots inside box3
Attack
- 112Attacks37
- 1.28Expected assists (xA)0.38
- 12Key passes5
- 2/6 (33%)Dribbles2/6 (33%)
- 4Offsides1
Passes
- 502/551 (91%)Accurate passes127/191 (66%)
- 22/32 (69%)Long balls25/60 (42%)
- 7/32 (22%)Crosses1/3 (33%)
- 187Final third entries22
Defending
- 7/8 (88%)Tackles won9/10 (90%)
- 5Interceptions4
- 7Clearances29
- 10/21 (48%)Aerial duels11/21 (52%)
Other
- 11Free kicks15
- 15Throw-ins12
- 4Goal kicks10
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 2-0
- Correct score: 4-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-013.3%Our score
- 1-012.4%
- 3-010.2%
- 2-18.9%
- 1-17.7%
Top five combined: 52.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Colombia win and over 2.5 goals48.2%
- Colombia win and both teams score26.8%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals12.8%
- Peru win and over 2.5 goals5.2%
| Colombia | Peru | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 90.1% | 26.0% |
| Draw no bet | 88.2% | 11.8% |
| Win to nil | 47.2% | 5.2% |
| Either team wins | 83.9% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 89.7% | 47.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.0% | 14.7% |
| Clean sheet | 52.3% | 10.3% |