Angola vs Malawi Prediction - 6 October 2026
Form
- D 0-0
- W 3-0
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- L 0-1
- W 1-0
Head to head
- 10 Jun 2025 Malawi 0 Angola 1
Match analysis
Malawi average 0.8 goals a game and have scored twice in their last four away from home, which is why Superior backs Angola to win Angola vs Malawi on 6 October. The home win is priced at 1.36. The model gives it a 72 percent chance, against an Angola side that has not lost in five.
Angola won the last meeting 1-0 with Malawi at home
That June 2025 win is the only recent meeting, and it fits Malawi's numbers since: they lost 1-0 and drew 1-1 in Ethiopia in June, lost 1-0 in Botswana in March and won 1-0 in Lesotho last November. Superior's model sets each team's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding, and a visiting attack at 0.8 a game means Angola usually need one goal, not two. Angola beat the Central African Republic 3-0 at home on 9 June and have conceded two goals in five.
Angola have drawn four of their last five
Angola drew 0-0 in Egypt on 25 September, 0-0 with Egypt and 1-1 with Zimbabwe in December, and 1-1 at home with Mauritania in June. Their own 1.0 goals a game is the soft spot: a 0-0 or a 1-1 leaves the home win short, and Malawi did beat South Sudan 2-1 at home on 25 September.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.66Match stats
Match overview
- 72%Ball possession28%
- 21Total shots6
- 2Goalkeeper saves5
- 13Corner kicks2
- 13Fouls9
- 761Passes298
- 0Yellow cards1
Shots
- 9Shots on target2
- 7Shots off target2
- 5Blocked shots2
- 11Shots inside box2
- 10Shots outside box4
Attack
- 154Attacks75
- 1Offsides1
Passes
- 688/761 (90%)Accurate passes214/298 (72%)
Other
- 9Free kicks13
- 20Throw-ins20
- 2Goal kicks16
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 1-0
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-016.3%Our score
- 2-012.7%
- 1-110.7%
- 0-09.6%
- 2-19.4%
Top five combined: 58.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Angola win and over 2.5 goals32.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals20.3%
- Angola win and both teams score19.6%
- Malawi win and over 2.5 goals6.6%
| Angola | Malawi | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 84.5% | 39.0% |
| Draw no bet | 79.7% | 20.3% |
| Win to nil | 41.4% | 9.9% |
| Either team wins | 76.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 80.5% | 49.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 48.8% | 14.9% |
| Clean sheet | 51.0% | 19.5% |