Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction - 4 October 2026
Our pick:Home win
79%Odds 1.29
Correct score2-0Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our correct score is 2-0, then 2-1. Castellón are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Ceuta arrive in Castellón on a short turnaround to face a side that has won all five of its last games. Superior's pick for Castellón vs AD Ceuta on 4 October is the home win at 1.29, and the model rates it at 79 percent with 2-0 as the correct score.
Castellón have conceded twice while winning five straight
The run includes a 5-0 home win over Tenerife and away wins at Girona, Leganés and Celta de Vigo II. Castellón score 2.6 goals a game against Ceuta's 1.0, and once Superior turns measured scoring and conceding into expected goals for both sides, most of the score distribution sits on a home win. Ceuta's road form points the same way: they lost both of their away games in the run, 3-1 at Burgos and 3-0 at Mallorca.
Both meetings with Ceuta finished level
Castellón drew 3-3 at home to Ceuta in September 2025 and 1-1 away in May, so neither meeting in the data produced a winner. The bet needs a Castellón win, and a draw of either kind loses it. Ceuta also scored in three of their last five, including a 3-1 win over Real Sociedad II on 26 September, so the clean sheet in the 2-0 forecast is far from certain.
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | AD Ceuta FC | 1 - 1 | Castellón |
| 14 September 2025 | Castellón | 3 - 3 | AD Ceuta FC |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +9 | 18 | ||
| 2 | 6 | +10 | 16 | ||
| 3 | 7 | +7 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +4 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 7 | +6 | 13 | ||
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 7 | +2 | 12 | ||
| 8 | 7 | +3 | 11 | ||
| 9 | 6 | +1 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 7 | -1 | 11 | ||
| 11 | 7 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 12 | 7 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 13 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 14 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 15 | 7 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 16 | 7 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 17 | 7 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 6 | ||
| 19 | 7 | -5 | 5 | ||
| 20 | 7 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -11 | 4 | ||
| 22 | 7 | -8 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 | |
| 2 | Castellón | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 16 | |
| 3 | Almeria | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | |
| 4 | Burgos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| 5 | Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | |
| 6 | Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| 7 | Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| 8 | Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 9 | Leganes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| 10 | Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 | Sporting Gijon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | Granada CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | |
| 14 | Real Sociedad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | |
| 16 | Valladolid | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | |
| 17 | Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 | |
| 18 | Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | |
| 19 | Eldense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | |
| 20 | Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | |
| 22 | Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 |