Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction - 3 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
72%Odds 1.35
Correct score2-0Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Petrolera?
Our correct score is 2-0, then 2-1. Deportivo Cali are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Superior's pick when Deportivo Cali host Alianza Petrolera on the night of 2 October is Over 1.5 goals at 1.35, built on Cali's home scoring against a side in the relegation fight. Two or more goals carries a 72 percent probability in the model, which has 2-0 as the correct score.
Cali play four days after their last match
Cali come in on four days' rest, and the quick turnarounds have not slowed their scoring: 2-0 over Rionegro Aguilas, 1-0 at Santa Fe, 3-0 over Cucuta and 2-1 at Once Caldas make four wins in the last five. Their 1.8 goals a game is what drives the grid, because the model starts each side's expected rate from measured scoring and conceding. Alianza's last five include a 4-1 home defeat to Santa Fe, and a Cali attack at this level makes 2-0 the single likeliest score.
Alianza's last five produced two 1-0 results
Alianza beat Junior 1-0 at home and lost 1-0 at Once Caldas in the same spell, and Cali's own win at Santa Fe was a 1-0. A Cali side that scores once and holds it, or a 0-0, is the result that beats this. Cali scoring once and Alianza answering keeps the bet alive.
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 2-1
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +20 | 40 | ||
| 2 | 19 | +7 | 35 | ||
| 3 | 19 | +4 | 34 | ||
| 4 | 19 | +10 | 33 | ||
| 5 | 19 | +9 | 33 | ||
| 6 | 19 | +10 | 31 | ||
| 7 | 19 | +7 | 29 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 10 | 19 | +8 | 26 | ||
| 11 | 19 | +2 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 13 | 19 | +6 | 23 | ||
| 14 | 19 | -3 | 22 | ||
| 15 | 19 | -5 | 22 | ||
| 16 | 19 | -13 | 18 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 18 | 19 | -17 | 17 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 20 | 19 | -17 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | WWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 8 | La Equidad FC | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | LWDWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | WWWDL |
| 12 | Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LWLLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 19 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLLWL |