Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova Prediction - 3 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
65%Odds 1.50
Picked at 1.50 · now 1.47
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-2. Vila Nova are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Superior projects Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova on 3 October as a 1-1 draw, with a 1-2 Vila Nova win the alternative. The home side's defending is why Vila Nova are expected to score: Botafogo have conceded in all of their last five, and three of those were home defeats.
Botafogo SP play on three days' rest
Botafogo come into this three days after their last match, a 1-1 at Athletic Club, and the run before it was three home defeats: 3-1 to Goias, 3-1 to Novorizontino and 2-1 to Cuiaba. They are in the relegation fight, Vila Nova in the title race, with 2-0 home wins over Londrina and Goias and a 1-0 over America Mineiro in their last five. The model's expected rate for each side comes from measured scoring and conceding, and Vila Nova's 1.2 goals a game against a defence that concedes every week puts a Vila Nova goal in both of the leading scorelines.
Vila Nova lost 5-0 at Athletic Club
Vila Nova's one heavy result in the last five came away from home, a 5-0 defeat at Athletic Club, and it is the main reason the 1-1 can fail. Their last visit here, in August 2025, ended 2-0 to Botafogo. If Vila Nova travel the way they did at Athletic Club, a home win like that 2-0 replaces the draw; if Botafogo's recent home defending repeats, a 1-2 or wider away win is the likelier outcome.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 June 2026 | Vila Nova | 1 - 0 | Botafogo SP |
| 25 August 2025 | Botafogo SP | 2 - 0 | Vila Nova |
| 20 April 2025 | Vila Nova | 2 - 0 | Botafogo SP |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +12 | 54 | ||
| 2 | 30 | +13 | 53 | ||
| 3 | 31 | +22 | 52 | ||
| 4 | 30 | +9 | 52 | ||
| 5 | 30 | +4 | 50 | ||
| 6 | 30 | +10 | 49 | ||
| 7 | 30 | +4 | 48 | ||
| 8 | 30 | +5 | 48 | ||
| 9 | 31 | +8 | 45 | ||
| 10 | 31 | -6 | 43 | ||
| 11 | 30 | +5 | 43 | ||
| 12 | 31 | +3 | 43 | ||
| 13 | 30 | +9 | 42 | ||
| 14 | 30 | +1 | 41 | ||
| 15 | 30 | -6 | 36 | ||
| 16 | 30 | -2 | 35 | ||
| 17 | 30 | -11 | 30 | ||
| 18 | 30 | -4 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 30 | -29 | 17 | ||
| 20 | 30 | -47 | 13 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 54 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 53 | WLWWD |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 52 | WLLLW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 52 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 50 | DWWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 49 | WWDWL |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 48 | WWWDL |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 48 | LWDWW |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 45 | DDDDL |
| 10 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 43 | LDWDW |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 43 | DWDDL |
| 13 | São Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 | LLDDL |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 | WLDDL |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 | LWDDW |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 13 | DLLLL |